Articles by JP Marin Arrese

About the Author

JP Marin Arrese
Juan Pedro Marín Arrese is a Madrid-based economic analyst and observer. He regularly publishes articles in the Spanish leading financial newspaper 'Expansión'.
Lehman Brother collapse

5 years since Lehman Brothers collapsed

MADRID | By JP Marin Arrese | In the aftermath of the world financial crisis, the G 20 solemnly committed itself to undertake a major overhaul to avoid such a disaster from happening again. The diagnosis rapidly identified a disproportionate risk appetite, coupled with lenders’ reckless confidence, as the main culprit. Deregulation and the benign neglect hailed by supervisory authorities as a hallmark for best practices also stood in the pillory. Yet, five years later, no major breakthrough in dealing with the core problems has been performed.


Spain 2014 budget

Nothing new in the Spanish 2014 budget

MADRID | By JP Martin Arrese | For all the trumpeted news on fresh signs of recovery, the Spanish government would be well advised to deliver next year’s budget as close as possible to the one in force. Growth will fail to deliver any significant thrust that might help to recoup the current deficit. Moreover, public debt has rocketed to more than 90% GDP.


spain exports11

Spain bets on exports

MADRID | By JP Marin Arrese | The Spanish government claims its structural reforms are paying off. For several months in a row unemployment performance has markedly improved, rising hopes to curb the current staggering level: more than one in four workers queuing in the dole. It also helps that exports are growing at 8% rate, allowing to save jobs and keep the economy running.


g20

G-20 meets poisoned by acrimony

MADRID | By JP Marin Arrese | When G-20 leaders meet tomorrow, discussions will be exposed to bad feelings and deep-rooted bitterness. Since the Cold War relations between the US and Russian presidents had never sunk to such low levels of mutual understanding. The unilateral intervention in Syria is poisoning bilateral relations, Mr Putin considering it as sheer trespassing in his own backyard. His latest offer to envisage a green light should Damascus responsibility be fully substantiated amounts to a time buying tactic. Should the US rebuke this overture, it could lead to an open clash.


No Picture

Syria is too close to Israel to miss the target

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | When you blow the war trumpets any back-pedalling proves hopeless. You are forced to step in. Mr Obama has crossed the Rubicon once the news on a planned attack against the Syrian regime has been leaked. Having warned chemical weapons to stand as a red line he was already under bitter criticism for failing to swiftly react to the massive killing of civilians, victims of that awesome and atrocious devices. Any faltering on his side was bound to be regarded as a blatant lack of leadership.

 


No Picture

The shortest summer of Mr Rajoy is over

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | The Spanish PM has a hot agenda for the rentrée. Not only Mr Rajoy has to deal with the corruption scandal of his party but also with UK over Gibraltar’s dispute. The good news is that Spanish bonds yield is pretty low and giving Madrid some fresh air to reduce the deficit, still very high.


emergingmarkets

Monetary policy: the dam might leak

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | Christine Lagarde’s stern warning on potential problems ahead for emerging countries has been delivered in rather a blunt way: “even with the best of efforts the dam might leak”. At the annual Fed gathering in Wyoming she claimed “further lines of defence” were needed to address a financial crisis. The hike in interest rates following the prospect of a progressive tapering in asset purchases by the US, has induced a sharp reversal in fund flows between developed and emerging markets.


No Picture

Spanish banks poised to face stiff requirements

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | The summer break has delivered a much needed respite to Spanish banks, yet the forthcoming autumn will bring them a number of hurdles and potential pitfalls. For the author, the most worrying fact is the lack of ambition in performing a much needed restructuring.


hollande ok

Hollande saves the day

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | Figures for the second quarter announced by the European Commission must have exerted a soothing effect on badly mauled Hollande. Growth is back in France, even if it only amounts to 0.5%.


Banking regulations

Banking regulatory flaws

MADRID | By JP Marín Arrese | Ex-ante coverage of potential non-performing portfolio, plus a thorough scrutiny on banking trading and risk concentration, stands as the only effective way to prevent excessive exposure.