MADRID|Rafael Poch at La Vanguardia via Presseurop|At the start of her new mandate, Angela Merkel is putting the emphasis on Europe. And, as always, Europeans are expecting a lot from her. Will she go down in history as one of the great chancellors? It all depends on what happens in Europe.
Articles by Victor Jimenez
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LONDON | By Barclays analysts | EM markets are likely to enjoy supportive conditions over the next few weeks. The resolution of the US government shutdown, expectations of QE tapering pushed further into 2014, the emergence of some EM re-coupling to stronger global manufacturing and still-attractive EM valuations should all be helpful factors. Liquidity considerations are likely to become a less important market driver, and higher-yielding EM assets, particularly in EM credit, should attract further support where bottom-up fundamentals allow.
NEW YORK | By Daniel Altman | In economics there are few axioms and fewer laws. The science, if it can be called that, lacks the certainty of mathematics and the elegance of physics, which may be why quite a few run-of-the-mill mathematicians and physicists turn out to be excellent economists.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | The ‘peddlers’ of fiscal stimulus who say monetary policy (the Fed) is powerless at the ZLB-LT, and the inflation “nutters” have both done a grave disservice.
LONDON | By Victor Jimenez | The recent push for apprenticeships the Prime Minister favours could be costlier in the long run against the meagre savings in higher education spending achieved in the short term.
LONDON | By Victor Jimenez | In a cautious tone common to other voices heard today in the City, analysts reminded investors that most governments in Europe continue amassing public spending bills worryingly higher than their income.
LONDON | By Victor Jimenez | What sounds optimistic for Italy and Spain can dampen the picture of Germany as almost unassailable European economic engine. The IMF alerted that the German over-reliance on exports would cut down its growth.
LONDON | By Victor Jimenez | “The improvement in the PMIs suggest the Eurozone economy should exit recession in the third quarter of this year. But the recovery is likely to remain uneven.”
Borrowers will notice their mortgage costs ease because the Euribor reference has consistently be lower than the IRPH, and entities will see their interests margin trimmed.
LONDON | By Victor Jimenez | In the sector regulators’ agenda, European banks will indeed need more capital to protect the public purse from the fallouts of the risks that entities take on.