IBEX REPORTS


Blackrock second shareholder in Iberdrola

Iberdrola, Quality At A Price

Iberdrola’s stock had a good performance this year despite the difficult conditions faced by the group in two of its main markets (the UK and Spain). The negative effect was mainly on the generation and supply side as earnings in this segment decreased by 32%: the UK’s earnings contracted by 75% and the Spanish by 19%. As pointed by Carax- Alphavalue “this was due to lower plant operations (load factor) with contracting margins added to low hydro production and higher transmission costs


Gamesa

Gamesa’s timely merger

Eight months ago Carax-Alphavalue held the view that Gamesa was fully priced ahead of it falling into the Siemens bag. This opinion proved correct only for the following two months. Another six months on and the Spanish wind-turbine manufacturer is looking decidedly expensive at €21.5, even though they have upgraded their target price on the back of a strong 2016 delivery.





Iberdrola buybacks operations

Iberdrola: addressing latest questions from investors

UBS | Based on our latest conversations with investors, the following three questions emerged on Iberdrola: Could we see EPS growth upgrades following the strategic update on Feb-2017? Could renewables growth plans in the US be at risk? And, Is the company likely to pursue inorganic growth as suggested by recent press articles?


Ferrovial performance

Ferrovial Still 407 ETR Dependent

Carax- Alphavalue | 2016 is no great vintage for Spanish group Ferrovial (Add, France) which spent the year sailing into headwinds including the bankruptcy of one of its US toll roads in March, Brexit in June (36% of sales are generated in the UK) and the widening of South European sovereign spreads from October.


Can Repsol Be “Small & Beautiful?

Carax-Alphavalue | Amongst integrated oil companies, Repsol (Add, Spain) is one of the smallest with a €19bn market cap despite its latest acquisition (Talisman) doubling its size (production seen at 725kbpd by 2020 from 355kbpd in 2014).