Iberdrola’s shares have exceeded 10 year maximums with a satisfactory evolution of +24% since the October lows. Analysts at Alphavalue highlight the good balance between the firm’s diverse businesses and the lower intensity in the consumption of CO2 rights.
Bankinter | We are revising our recommendation for BBVA to Neutral from Buy because of the deterioration of the situation in Turkey.
José Benito de Vega | Since the beginning of 2017 Siemens Gamesa (SGRE) shares have performed poorly, falling -20% compared to -1% for the Ibex 35. This is even clearer compared to the maximums of May 2017 since when they have fallen -40% (-11% Ibex 35).
Blackrock, the largest fund manager in the world, has raised its holding in the electricity company to 5.008% from the 4.998% it held, and remains the second largest shareholder behind the sovereign wealth fund Qatar Investment Authority (QIA).
Cellnex Telecom has presented its results for the first quarter of 2018. Revenues amounted to € 217 million (+15%) and EBITDA was € 101 million (+20%). The comparable net result closed at € 11 million, in line with the close of the same period in 2017, thereby taking into account the effect of the higher amortisations (+30% vs. 1Q 2017) and financial costs (+51% vs. 1Q 2017) associated with the growth of the group and the consequent expansion of its geographical footprint.
Hochtief has launched a €18.76 cash or share offer on Abertis, raising speculation around a potential price war between Atlantia and Hochtief.
Iberdrola’s stock had a good performance this year despite the difficult conditions faced by the group in two of its main markets (the UK and Spain). The negative effect was mainly on the generation and supply side as earnings in this segment decreased by 32%: the UK’s earnings contracted by 75% and the Spanish by 19%. As pointed by Carax- Alphavalue “this was due to lower plant operations (load factor) with contracting margins added to low hydro production and higher transmission costs
Eight months ago Carax-Alphavalue held the view that Gamesa was fully priced ahead of it falling into the Siemens bag. This opinion proved correct only for the following two months. Another six months on and the Spanish wind-turbine manufacturer is looking decidedly expensive at €21.5, even though they have upgraded their target price on the back of a strong 2016 delivery.
Returns in offshore wind projects have come under pressure with intense competition and aggressive assumptions. As the technology matures, Citi analysts believe falling costs should support a 7-9% project return in the long ter. The case of Gamesa.
Cellnex shares have under performed the sector by c.16% since mid -Oct 2016, mainly due to higher government bond yields and the market’s rotation out of yield stocks which, in the case of TowerCos, may have been exacerbated by their dependence on M&A.