equity reports

Deutsche Boerse

Deutsche Boerse, A Merger That Need Not Happen

Since the DB /LSE merger was announced (a year ago officially), it has been more beneficial to LSE shareholders than to DB’s, with a valuation gap (29x for LSE vs. 18x for DB) that has never closed. Respective shares have continued to trade in an uncorrelated way suggesting that not only the deal is not consummated but that the GBP/Brexit tango cannot be ignored.







Iberdrola buybacks operations

Iberdrola: addressing latest questions from investors

UBS | Based on our latest conversations with investors, the following three questions emerged on Iberdrola: Could we see EPS growth upgrades following the strategic update on Feb-2017? Could renewables growth plans in the US be at risk? And, Is the company likely to pursue inorganic growth as suggested by recent press articles?


Ferrovial performance

Ferrovial Still 407 ETR Dependent

Carax- Alphavalue | 2016 is no great vintage for Spanish group Ferrovial (Add, France) which spent the year sailing into headwinds including the bankruptcy of one of its US toll roads in March, Brexit in June (36% of sales are generated in the UK) and the widening of South European sovereign spreads from October.


Norwegian Statoil

Statoil, That Pure Play on OPEC

Carax Alphavalue | The recent OPEC deal was more than welcomed by the Norwegian oil company which has more than 60% of its production coming from the Continental Shelf. With little by way of refining compared to its integrated oil peers’, Statoil’s (Add, Norway) earnings are a near direct call on oil prices.


Talgo's high speed train

Spanish Small & Medium Midcaps: Talgo

Alfonso de Gregorio (Gesconsult) | Talgo is a value investment. Its stock price its attractive and it has huge possibilities of winning new contracts which would really boost the company’s valuation. Amongst the risks facing the company, there is the scarcity of contracts in the period 2015-2016, which has generated a certain lack of confidence in the company’s ability to win new contracts.