UBS | Based on our latest conversations with investors, the following three questions emerged on Iberdrola: Could we see EPS growth upgrades following the strategic update on Feb-2017? Could renewables growth plans in the US be at risk? And, Is the company likely to pursue inorganic growth as suggested by recent press articles?
Carax- Alphavalue | 2016 is no great vintage for Spanish group Ferrovial (Add, France) which spent the year sailing into headwinds including the bankruptcy of one of its US toll roads in March, Brexit in June (36% of sales are generated in the UK) and the widening of South European sovereign spreads from October.
Carax Alphavalue | The recent OPEC deal was more than welcomed by the Norwegian oil company which has more than 60% of its production coming from the Continental Shelf. With little by way of refining compared to its integrated oil peers’, Statoil’s (Add, Norway) earnings are a near direct call on oil prices.
Alfonso de Gregorio (Gesconsult) | Talgo is a value investment. Its stock price its attractive and it has huge possibilities of winning new contracts which would really boost the company’s valuation. Amongst the risks facing the company, there is the scarcity of contracts in the period 2015-2016, which has generated a certain lack of confidence in the company’s ability to win new contracts.
José Benito | Since its stock market debut in April at 7,75 euros, Telepizza’s share price has dropped 39% compared with a 6.5% decline in the blue-chip Ibex 35 index over the same period. There are a lot of factors behind this relative negative performance, including the company’s overvaluation at the time of its listing or disappointment with its quarterly results.
Gesconsult | Grupo Iberpapel Gestión (IBG) is one of the key players in the printing and writing paper market in Spain. We like Iberpapel because of its high level of vertical integration and its healthy financial situation. It generates a lot of cash and has no debt.
Cie Automotive, the Spanish company which specialises in producing components for the automobile sector, registered a 25.5% rise in net profit to 123 million euros in the nine months to September from a year earlier. Link Securities has calculated a new valuation for the company which at current prices offers a potential upside for CIE’s shares of over 7%.
Carax-Alphavalue | Amongst integrated oil companies, Repsol (Add, Spain) is one of the smallest with a €19bn market cap despite its latest acquisition (Talisman) doubling its size (production seen at 725kbpd by 2020 from 355kbpd in 2014).
José Benito de Vega | Gas Natural’s shares have been volatile in the last few months due to results which were worse than analysts’ consensus, coupled with a strategic plan which disappointed the market. But the stock price has recovered in the last two months and has outperformed the Ibex 35 index by 7.6% so far this year.
Barcelona-based on-line agency eDreams, is an investment opportunity, according to Bankinter analysts. They offer three reasons: it is trading at much cheaper multiples (more than half) than its peers. The range, applying reasonable multiples, is slightly higher than the current one but much lower than the sector. So it has significant potential.