J. L. M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | Debt is essential for growth. And in fact, the Big Recession, which was sparked by the US subprime crisis, lies in the high level of debt generated during the previous decade known as the Great Moderation. So just as periods of expansion are favourable for building up debt, this has to be adjusted during periods of recession (and depression).
José Benito de Vega | Gas Natural’s shares have been volatile in the last few months due to results which were worse than analysts’ consensus, coupled with a strategic plan which disappointed the market. But the stock price has recovered in the last two months and has outperformed the Ibex 35 index by 7.6% so far this year.
The Italian banks are struggling for survival. And the prospects for some of the biggest German banks are also gloomy. But the authorities in both countries are reluctant to act quickly on the assumption that time may solve the problems.
Barcelona-based on-line agency eDreams, is an investment opportunity, according to Bankinter analysts. They offer three reasons: it is trading at much cheaper multiples (more than half) than its peers. The range, applying reasonable multiples, is slightly higher than the current one but much lower than the sector. So it has significant potential.
The group representing the small creditors and bondholders affected by Abengoa’s situation has recommended they do not sign up for the Spanish company’s financial restructuring plan. In the opinion of the representatives of this organisation – La Plataforma de Perjudicados por Abengoa – the best solution is to go ahead with bankruptcy proceedings.
Ferrovial, which owns 25% of Heathrow, could benefit from the possible extension of the airport’s installations: apart from being able to participate in the construction of a third runway, the increase in the number of passengers would mean higher revenues, profits and dividends for the Spanish services and infrastructure operator.
Italy’s sovereign debt has become a bargain due to the country’s upcoming referendum (December 4th) which may compromise Renzi’s government. Yield premium investors demand to hold 10-year securities versus similar Spanish debt soared to its highest closing level in almost two years in October, according to Bloomberg data.
UBS | We have updated our Upstream major project database. Further cuts to capital investment, responding both tactically to this year’s very low prices but also, increasingly, strategically to a changing market outlook, have contributed to another year of below-trend project development activity.
AXA IM | Recent years have shown the importance of financial linkages across markets and assets. In particular, spillovers were evident during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) when financial turmoil originating in the US mortgage markets spread around the globe and caused an unprecedented crisis.