Markets

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EU banks still owe €450bn from last LTRO

MADRID | The Corner Team | Eurozone’s banks have yet to pay back €450 billion from the 2012 long-term refinancing operation or LTRO. Executive Director in Global Cash Equity Sales at JP Morgan Hugo Anaya maintains a positive outlook and believes that even the P/E re-rating in the Euro stock exchange may continue.


Why ECB’s measures may not fix lending nor inflation

MADRID | The Corner | Despite markets’ euphoric celebration of Mario Draghi’s last words, some remain skeptic about them being the panacea for inflation and the lack of credit in the eurozone. Check the graph above: 5-year swap rates show that inflation expectations have only gone from 1.21/1.24 in May to 1.28/1.24. in June. Nothing to go crazy about, huh?


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DAX rocketing, Spanish risk premium at 120bp (and financing costs match US)

MADRID | The Corner | Despite the good performance of Western equities, many values are beginning to show signs of vertigo that could lead them to correct some of the gains of the past weeks in the coming days. In addition, the fact that trading volumes are shrinking as indexes advance is a clear sign that there are investors who feel dizzy levels. Therefore, Link experts point out, we shouldn’t rule out some small reductions in the short term even if it’s in an upward trend context.


After ECB’s bazooka, will we see negative bund yields again?

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | Now that the ECB will charge banks for keeping them their money, don’t be surprised if some short-dated core sovereign bonds start yielding negative, Bond Vigilantes remark. Actually we’ve seen that before in the EZ: in August 2012, German authorities received with open arms 750 billion euros in deposits of its eurozone neighbors, mainly Spaniards and Italians. That intense demand drove the prices of short dated bunds to levels which produced negative yields.


What to expect from Draghi’s bazooka

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes and Jaime Santisteban | It’s a radical move because that’s what the eurozone needs. Besides cutting the ECB’s base interest rate from 0.25pc to 0.15pc, Mario Draghi also reduced deposit facility to -0.1pc. So EZ banks will either boost credit lending or pay to leave money in the central bank. Also, he offered banks new long-term funds. Market makers tell us what they make of the much-awaited package.


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ECB takes the reins in a historic move- but where’s the QE?

MADRID | By Julia Pastor | In a historic move, the ECB cut the benchmark rate to 0.15 percent from 0.25 percent, and reduced the deposit rate to minus 0.10 percent from zero, becoming the world’s first major central bank to use a negative rate and pushing entities to increase credit lending. Spanish Ibex35 reacted to the news with a 0,8% increase. 


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Falling EZ inflation makes it tricky for Draghi

MADRID | By Francisco López | Markets are taking for granted that ECB’s chairman Mario Draghi is going to act tomorrow. What is not that clear is to which extent he will do it. The last inflation figures on the euro area -a greater fall than the expected in May, standing at 0.5% and thus worsening deflation risks- represent a convenient opportunity for those ECB’s members claiming immediate bold measures.


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A busy week ahead with eyes set on ECB

MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | Stock markets ended May trading high: +3.1% in Spanish Ibex 35 and +2.1% in EuroStoxx. We start a busy week for markets with all eyes set on Thursday’s ECB rate announcement. “The central bank is a slave of its own words and cannot afford to disappoint,” some analysts are pointing out.


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How Greek banks moved into a new era

ATHENS | By Manos Giakoumis via MacroPolis | The core Greek banks reported first quarter (Q1) results in the last three days of May. The release of the results was the last act in a series of important developments for the Greek banking market over the past two months. These developments constitute the third phase of the new era for Greek banks, which started two years ago. 


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80% of Spain’s equity trading comes from foreign investors

MADRID | By The Corner | The importance of foreign investors in the Spanish stock market is increasing. Last figures proving it were released on Wednesday: more than 80% of volume traded comes from abroad, while 40% lies on non resident capital portfolios.