Markets


FedTC

Fed keeps the markets in suspense

Next week’s Federal Reserve meeting ( September 16th and 17th) has investors on tenterhooks. Some Fed members have recently pointed to a possible rate hike in September, raising concerns not only in the markets but also amongst IMF and World Bank leaders.



Spanish banks profitability

It’s Not Draghi’s Fault If Spanish Banks’ Profitability Is Low

Confusing costs with revenues, or assets with liabilities, is lethal if you are analysing the situation of the banks. It now appears that, according to some so-called experts, the ECB and its low interest rate policy is to blame for the weakness and lack of profitability amongst Spanish banks.


UBS-oil

The Oil Prospect of ‘Lower for Longer’

Analysts at UBS are cutting our oil price forecast for the period 2015-19 and cutting long-term normalised view to $80/bbl from $90/bbl. Near oil term forecasts reflect the prospect of a lower 3Q outturn and the base from which we see the recovery in prices rising from


central bank1

“Deflation Remains More of a Threat to Growth Than Low Interest Rates”

Are we putting the responsilibity of exiting the crisis on central banks’ shoulders? Is ECB’s president Mario Draghi doing traders a favour by playing down the ECB’s responsibility for contributing to volatility? Professor of Financial Mathematics at Bocconi’s University Marcello Minenna answers to these questions from Milan and argues that a low interest rate environment is here to stay.



global

When EM sneeze, developed countries catch a cold

Markets, especially stocks exchanges, will continue to suffer from a slowdown in global growth. IMF managing director Christine Lagarde warned on Tuesday that expansion in EM as well as in developed ones will be “weaker” than expected in July.