Spanish economy

housing overvalued

Spain | Economic, Social And Demographic Determinants Of Housing Demand

BBVA Research | Since 1996, the number of homes in Spain has increased, as well as their size. This Observatory studies the contribution of different socio-demographic factors such as average household size, population growth and the number of dwellings per household to the demand and size per dwelling. Key points Before 2008, the decrease in the size of the households and the increase in the population explained most of the…


Almirall

Wellington hikes stake in Almirall from to 5.1% vs 3%

Bankinter | US asset manager Wellington has raised its stake to 5.1% from 3% in Almirall. It is now the second largest shareholder in the Spanish pharmaceutical firm, after the Gallardo family (59.7%). Bankinter analysts’ view: The stock price has suffered a decline since the presentation of Q3 results, so this is an opportunity to take positions at a very attractive level. Our recommendation is to follow this strategy. In…



nadia calvino bruselas

The Government Extends The Bankruptcy Moratorium And ICO Guarantee Lines Until 30 June 2022

The bankruptcy moratorium is extended until 30 June 2022. The Government extends the hibernation of the duty to apply for insolvency proceedings in insolvency situations from the end of 2021 until June 2022. It also extends the ICO guarantee lines, the company recapitalisation funds managed by SEPI and COFIDES until 30 June 2022 and extends the prior authorisation regime for certain foreign investments until 31 December 2022. Yesterday’s Council of…


Telefonica nubecillas

The Government Extends Its Veto On Takeover Bids And Cools The Prospects Of A Possible Corporate Operation By Telefónica.

Bankinter | The Spanish government extends its veto power against possible takeover bids by one year, until December 2022. So in Telefónica (TEF), as a company considered strategic, the government will have to authorise purchases by EU investors of more than 10% of the capital. The ability to veto investments from outside the EU also remains in force indefinitely. These restrictions were imposed in April 2020 to prevent Spanish companies…


Acciona

Acciona refuses to pay Landlease the final 35 million euros due on sale of a portfolio of construction contracts

Link Securities |Acciona and Australian firm Landlease have ended up in court over the sale of a portfolio of construction contracts to the Spanish infrastructure group. The portfolio belonged to a subsidiary of Landlease Engineering. The Australian group is reclaiming the payment of the last 60 million AU$ (some 35 million euros) of the transaction, which was finalised a little over a year ago. Acciona is refusing to pay up,…


bank generico

“Without Numbers You Will Perish”

Aristóbulo de Juan | Visiting the basilica of San Isidoro in León some time ago, I came across a series of tombstones with their inscriptions. One of them carried this statement: “Without numbers you will perish”. It stuck with me. Now, amid the pandemic and its impact on the economy, on banks and on the tolerance of all regulators, we live in a time of great confusion. Banks in good…


exports gorgeous

Foreign Trade Saves The Spanish Economy

In September 2021, Spanish exports grew by 21.9% year-on-year to 28.337 billion euros, a record for the last decade. The figure exceeds by 5 billion euros the peak in sales to the rest of the world recorded in September 2019. In turn, imports also show the highest figure since 2012, with a year-on-year increase of 24.2% to 30.730 billion euros. An increase that is not unrelated to the price of…


Savings

To Borrow Or Not To Borrow: A Dilemma That Depends On What Was Saved During The Pandemic

CaixaBank Research | Unlike in past crises such as the Great Recession, this time the rebound in consumption will be higher: we expect nominal consumption growth in 2021 and 2022 to be higher than the gradual recovery seen in the previous crisis. This higher recovery rate is explained by the fact that much of the savings generated in 2020 were forced and are expected to be undone relatively quickly, and also because the economic support measures have mitigated the impact of the crisis on households. This more rapid recovery in consumption will also drive greater growth in consumer lending, although the extent of the rebound will depend on how the excess savings have been distributed.


Aena tourism

Spain Welcomes Over 5.5 M Air travellers in October; best tourism data since the pandemic

CdM | In October, 5.5 million travellers from international airports arrived in Spain. This represents a rise of 533% compared with a year earlier, and a decline of 34% versus 2019. Of these, 59.1% chose low cost carriers for their journeys, up 516% from a year earlier (-33.3% vs 2019). Meanwhile, the remaining 40.9 % opted for tradional airlines, up 558% from 2020 (-35% vs 2019). In the 10 months…