Nick Ottens via Atlantic Sentinel | Germans are more centrist and optimistic than most Europeans. The French and the Spanish have yet to feel the economic recovery and are more inclined to vote for parties on the far left and the far right. The Italians are even more pessimistic, yet they remain wary of extremes.
Latin American equities have been on a wild ride in recent years. After heavily underperforming global equity markets until 2015, their fortunes have turned. As pointed by Deutsche Bank AM, the MSCI Latin America Index is up by more than 20% in 2017. A closer look at correlations reveal Latin American equities correlate with metals and mining, not with politics.
Telefonica has informed the Stock Market Regulator (CNMV) that it has reached an agreement with the Colombian government to hike capital for a total of €1.840 billion at its affiliate operating in the country, which is one of the main ones in the group. The reason for the capital increase is the debt the parent company has with the company which manages the pension funds.
J.L.M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | The current strong recovery of Spanish housing market has re-opened the debate about its sustainability. Some figures could support it is. According to last Bank of Spain’s data, the net wealth of the Spanish families is rising at 6.9% on a y-o-y basis. It currently exceeds 119.4 % of GDP. As regards to housing wealth, it now means 420% of GDP. Also a better financial position of families with a debt level at 63.4 % of GDP very near the European average.
Pablo Béjar | Having transitioned into a more complex global economy, today emerging and developing countries are less economically vulnerable than in the 1980s and 1990s. But how secure are these economies? How much less vulnerable quantitatively and more resilient are countries to macroeconomic crises that battered them over the last 35 years? More specifically, how has the probability of a currency and GDP crisis evolved during these last years?
Citi’s research analysts targets two significant issues on this recent decline: disinflation pressures and what would happen if oil prices don’t recover.
Caixin | After three years of rebuffs, China’s A-share market finally made it into MSCI Inc.’s global indexes. Here are some reactions to the breakthrough.
OPEC’s supply deal extension seems to have become a formality only after Saudi Arabia and Russia pledged their support. The persistent supply glut and reviving shale boom question the deal’s effectiveness. Julius Baer’s analysts see oil prices trading sideways.
The Corner | Everything went by the book, as investor’s preferred candidate Emmanuel Macron comfortably won the French elections against far-rightist Marine Le Pen by more than 30 percentage points. The euro came last night at times to surpass the level of $ 1.10 per unity against the dollar (although it lost this level in the Asian markets this morning). European stocks are expected to gain.