World economy

MSCI Emerging Markets turns 30.

Emerging Markets: Good-Bye Crisis, Hello Bubble?

BoAML | After the break we maintain our pre-summer bullishness on EM and think an EM bubble is possible by next year given DM policies and improving EM fundamentals. That said, we would wait for the ongoing correction to run its course before adding.


J.Yellen

It Depends On The Data Says The Fed…

J. L. M.Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | Fed deputy chairman Fisher said last Tuesday that any future decision on interest  rates will depend, in the end, on the data. The market is now awaiting the US August jobs figures, due out tomorrow. This will be the key indicator anticipating a September rate hike. They say that more than 150,000 new jobs will be a sufficient trigger for the Fed to take its decision this month. And the necessary condition? That the rest



Brasil recursoTC

Brazil: in crisis and recession after the Olympics

BBVA Research | After providing a grand finale to the Rio 2016 Olympic Games, the first ever to be held in Latin America, Brazil is now back to reality: a political crisis which is the prelude to the definitive removal from office of President Dilma Rousseff and an economic crisis which has pushed the country into recession.

 


DirtyMoneyTC

The Fed’s prestige is constantly being eroded

Why does the Fed continue to be a glutton for punishment, repeatedly announcing for over a year that it is going to raise interest rates, then having to put the decision on hold? Yet again it has announced it will have to hike rates before end-year, possibly twice, and perhaps, once more, it will have to back down.


yellen2TC

Janet Yellen Misses the Target

At Jackson Hole, Janet Yellen dwelt extensively on the challenges raised by low neutral rates, recognizing the need to broaden the unconventional toolkit for compensating for the subdued impact rate cuts might have in future. By hinting the Fed should reinforce its weaponry, just in case there is an unexpected and most unlikely bout of recession, Janet Yellen is sending the wrong message.



tiposInteres recurso peque

Yellen’s speech: are there reasons to support a September rate hike?

Stock market analysts have turned the annual central bankers’ meeting in Jackson Hole into a boiling pot of speculation regarding what message Fed Chair Janet Yellen will transmit. The markets are not expecting a rate hike in September, but are hoping for some guidance from Yellen’s speech today about how she sees the US economy, the key factor which will determine whether there will be a rate move before year-end.

 


renewableschina1

Renewables Generate a Quarter of China’s Energy; Solar, Wind Lag

Fan Ruohong and Chen Na via Caixin | Renewable energy accounted for nearly a quarter of China’s power generation last year, even as wind and solar farms with 39 billion kilowatt-hours of capacity sat idle due to poor planning in the rush to meet Beijing’s ambitious green energy targets, the National Energy Administration (NEA) said.