Intermoney | This week we will see the publication of the first chapters of the IMF’s six-monthly report on Global Economic Perspectives, which should be more favourable than on previous occasions. The synchronisation and the strength of global growth is a reality and the data over the coming months won’t call this into question.
Late yesterday, Donald Trump outlined his plans for the overhaul of the US tax system in a speech in Indianapolis. The aim is to cut taxes by $1.5 trillion over 1o years, as well as simply the system.
Investors and observers have hailed the Fed’s decision to trim its balance sheet from October onwards as a turning point in the drive to normalise monetary policy. But a decline of $10 billion per month in the hefty portfolio the Fed has accumulated in recent years will hardly have any visible effect on the bond market.
Liu Xiao via Caixin |Initial coin offering (ICO), an increasingly popular crowdfunding phenomenon in which new cryptocurrencies make their debut, continues to make headlines. But this time it’s about the swift and broad crackdown of the sector in China.
J.L. M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | The global central banks are putting their plans for monetary normalisation on the table. But they also recognise that inflation risks are contained in the short-term. That means they have a margin of time to proceed with monetary normalisation in a cautious and patient way.
The recession has produced one clear victim and it’s called salaries. Starting with those lost by the jobless and by those who have used up all their unemployment benefit. But those workers on lower salaries, have also suffered, seeing their purchasing power diminished.
Benjamin Cole | While taxes and trade get the headlines, a major issue in the US is ubiquitous restrictive property zoning, and the false signals zoning sends to the Fed. Indeed, the “housing bubble” that led to Fed over-tightening in 2007 barely surfaced in Houston, but was highly prominent in San Francisco. Obviously, the “housing bubble” was not Fed-induced.
Nobody really knows why volatility has disappeared. In theory, there are more than enough reasons for the market to be nervous, and for investors to take advantage of this to obtain higher returns.
Markets are currently looking to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) September policy meeting, scheduled for tomorrow and Wednesday. Given the Fed’s statement at its June 2017 policy meeting, the balance sheet reduction should begin gradually at USD 10 billion per month.
The City’s conclusion is that, in relation to their size, the US private equity firms could dedicate more time and deploy more capital in Europe, to the benefit of everyone. But these firms still have doubts about the future of the Eurozone after Brexit. Other non-US and non-European actors are grabbing those opportunities reticent US investors are letting pass by.