SAO PAULO | By Benjamin Cole via Historinhas | Sadly for Americans, the Fed of 2008 would pull out the 50-year-old playbook and repeat the mistakes of the Fed of the 1950s. Rattled by minor increases in prices, the 2008 Fed stomped on the brakes, bringing on the Great Recession from which the nation has yet to fully recover.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | Which came first, the chicken or the egg? Does the credit decrease because the demand is weak or because banks don’t offer any? Requirements imposed by banks to lend money (excluding to the public administrations) are aggressive both in real and collateral interest rates. Meanwhile, the possibility that the ECB increased rates would further collapse bank credit.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | Journalist Paul Krugman recently published an illuminating article by Samuelson about the (in)efficiency of the monetary expansion by its own when the liquidity trap has been reached. It is a very clear explanation about the problem of the money: central banks don’t create money if banks don’t want to give credit.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | ECB’s policies have damaged more than helped the European economy. After all, the FED has managed to steer the US towards the path of growth, while the ECB is unable to make its policies work. But the truth is, they are not entirely the ECB’s but the Bundesbank’s procedures commanded by Ms Angela Merkel.
Via Credit Suisse | Following the global financial crisis, major central banks have taken unprecedented policy actions in a bid to support the global economy and address short-term financial risks. In the following video, thought leaders from the Credit Suisse Research Institute discuss the use of these actions to attack crises, as well as the challenges associated with exiting these unconventional instruments in the coming years. [NOTE: The views expressed in this video are the interviewees’ own and do not necessarily reflect The Corner’s editorial policy].
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | The difference between the RBA and the BoJ, the Fed or ECB is that while all four central banks have inflation targets, the RBA also has an implicit income target. If central banks determine aggregate demand, the only way to hold them genuinely responsible for what they actually do is for them to explicitly and directly target it: also known as NGDP targeting.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | Recently, both Simon Wren-Lewis and Paul Krugman have singled Sweden as a country where the central bank has moved from targeting inflation to worrying about ‘deflating’ bubbles.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | It is possible, as we have seen over the past few years, that no matter how much the Central Banks increase their money emissions, it won’t change people’s preference for liquidity. It isn’t clear that an increase in banking credit will swell investment either, especially if investors own a higher than normal debt stock and if they don’t see a clear future profitability. The same applies to families.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | Markit´s PMI survey is a favorite of central banks and financial institutions. The panel below shows both the global (comprised of 32 countries) and the Eurozone and Japan PMI´s. Trichet´s rate increase ‘folly’ of April and June 2011 as well as Draghi´s “ECB will do whatever it takes” of July 2012 are marked. So is the “Abe effect” in Japan.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | An alternative, which has been proposed by people like Krugman and Blanchard, is for the central bank to increase the inflation target.