MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | ECB’s policies have damaged more than helped the European economy. After all, the FED has managed to steer the US towards the path of growth, while the ECB is unable to make its policies work. But the truth is, they are not entirely the ECB’s but the Bundesbank’s procedures commanded by Ms Angela Merkel.
Via Credit Suisse | Following the global financial crisis, major central banks have taken unprecedented policy actions in a bid to support the global economy and address short-term financial risks. In the following video, thought leaders from the Credit Suisse Research Institute discuss the use of these actions to attack crises, as well as the challenges associated with exiting these unconventional instruments in the coming years. [NOTE: The views expressed in this video are the interviewees’ own and do not necessarily reflect The Corner’s editorial policy].
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | The difference between the RBA and the BoJ, the Fed or ECB is that while all four central banks have inflation targets, the RBA also has an implicit income target. If central banks determine aggregate demand, the only way to hold them genuinely responsible for what they actually do is for them to explicitly and directly target it: also known as NGDP targeting.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | Recently, both Simon Wren-Lewis and Paul Krugman have singled Sweden as a country where the central bank has moved from targeting inflation to worrying about ‘deflating’ bubbles.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | It is possible, as we have seen over the past few years, that no matter how much the Central Banks increase their money emissions, it won’t change people’s preference for liquidity. It isn’t clear that an increase in banking credit will swell investment either, especially if investors own a higher than normal debt stock and if they don’t see a clear future profitability. The same applies to families.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | Markit´s PMI survey is a favorite of central banks and financial institutions. The panel below shows both the global (comprised of 32 countries) and the Eurozone and Japan PMI´s. Trichet´s rate increase ‘folly’ of April and June 2011 as well as Draghi´s “ECB will do whatever it takes” of July 2012 are marked. So is the “Abe effect” in Japan.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | An alternative, which has been proposed by people like Krugman and Blanchard, is for the central bank to increase the inflation target.
MADRID | All the “Great Depression” stories show how both the governments’ blindness and central banks made the crisis last longer. So it does makes sense that in the current crisis both governments and central banks have been active to take measures, although not necessarily successful and effective. However, the ECB has been less belligerent than other bankers and its members don’t hold homogeneous positions.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | “The past few days have made it overwhelmingly clear that the Fed is steering this recovery. That should be comforting; all it has to do is steer things in a more expansionary direction! But it isn’t.”
MADRID | By David Fernández | Foreign investors are showing a sudden interest in assets made in Spain due to, among others, central bank’s last data, Europe’s decision to delay the deficit commitment by two years and international factors such as second-round monetary helicopter launched by the Bank of Japan. Will this trend vanish?