Fed funds

Interest rates

Interest Rates As Indicators Of A Change Of Cycle

Miguel Navascués | For some months we have been looking with concern at the spread of interest rates of US 10 minus 2 year bonds as an indicator of an ever closer recession. Indeed, this indicator has been moving towards zero, and if it goes negative – which seems to be the trend- it would signal the threshold of a recession. But I don’t think it is such a precise indicator.


The Pivotal Questions For Global Banks In 2016

UBS | With a rise in the Fed funds rate looking imminent, and given last week’s ECB QE extension, ascertaining how diverging interest rate policies could impact bank fundamentals will be key to helping investors identify winners and losers among global banks in 2016.