Markets

Markets 24th November 2014

Investors find it hard to trust the ECB…

MADRID | The Corner | It seems Mario Draghi is preparing the markets and the ECB’s Government Council for further action as soon as next December. Investors are reluctant to trust Mr Draghi’s words, but they seem to be more confident lately. However, this “affair” will come to an end if the ECB does not take effective measures. According to market watchers at Link Securities, markets will closely monitor the ECB’s Government Council meeting, which will be crucial for investors to maintain their trust in the European institution.

Markets 17th November 2014

European corporates: More action, less reaction

LONDON | By Zoso Davies, Mike Kessler, Dominik Winniki (Barclays) | European corporates are becoming more acquisitive: European M&A is up 11% year-to-date by deal volume, despite a number of high profile proposals being rejected by boards or withdrawn. The pick-up in deal-making was driven by increasingly acquisitive behaviour: European issuers spent €779bn on deal-making through October (+48% y/y), of which three quarters was spent buying assets from other European companies. Inbound M&A has fallen, in part due to the stymieing of tax-inversion deals by US corporates.

World economy 5th November 2014

BoJ shocks markets; how about the economy?

By Kyohei Morita, Yuichiro Nagai, James Barber, and the CFA at Barclays | The BoJ shocked the markets with further easing on Halloween. The actual effect on the economy will likely be less direct. The weaker JPY and lower real interest rates have not boosted export volumes and private capex since the start of QQE, and this may not change in the near future. However, consumer spending could draw support from wealth effects and higher wages linked to stronger exporter profits under JPY depreciation

World economy 17th October 2014

China’s Challenge: Growing the Market, Limiting the State

BEIJING | By James A. Dorn via Caixin | In his new book Markets over Mao: The Rise of Private Business in China, Nicholas R. Lardy, one of the world’s leading China experts and a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, makes a strong case that the market, not the state, has been the key factor in the country’s remarkable rise. In 1978, Beijing began to loosen its grip on economic life and paramount leader Deng Xiaoping recognized the failure of central planning as a development model. Today China is the world’s second-largest economy, and the range of choices open to consumers has greatly expanded under economic liberalization and trade.

Markets 16th October 2014

US Investors: Biggest net selling of Europe since 2008

ZURICH | By UBS analysts | Global investors have been big sellers of Europe ex-UK equities in September and also the last 12 weeks (Figure 1). And this doesn’t include the heavy sell-off in the last week. US Treasury data shows that US-based investors were net sellers of $14.3bn in June–the biggest month of selling since the collapse of Lehman’s in 2008. How far through the current correction are we? So far the European market is down 8% from its September peak–in-line with the average of 9.5% in Bull market corrections since 1975.

Markets 24th September 2014

Markets hurt in the wake of poor EZ figures

MADRID | By Francisco López | Economic confidence dropped again in September to mid-2009 levels highlighting a worsening of the economic malaise in the Eurozone (EZ). The PMI Index fell 1.1 points to 85 points, well below the long term average (100points).

Markets 23rd September 2014

Markets worried over weak global growth

MADRID | By Francisco López | Up to this point, investors had scarcely listened to economists’ warnings about world economic stagnation, but in the last number of days the situation has changed as commodities’ prices dropped, with debt and equity markets beginning to exert some pressure.

Markets 19th September 2014

Morning coffee: investors try to keep up with market’s train speed

MADRID | The Corner | European stocks climbed as investors waiting for the Fed’s FOMC decision and Scottish referendum outcome began to take positions again. However, analysts say market behaviour will be not easy to predict due to today´s quadruple witching hour. Western markets, both bonds and stocks, have a much simpler scenario to assess and may turn to macro and companies’ fundamentals.

Markets 8th September 2014

Will we see a second round of QE in Europe soon?

MADRID | The Corner | “The ECB’s quantitative easing in Europe came late compared to the US Fed’s but before we expected,” Barclays’ Alberto Vigil commented on Monday, who believes that a second round of QE stimulus in the eurozone is about to take place soon. “Little bears may become a little like bulls,” he ironizes. The combination of the QE with the strength of the American data has already brought a significant correction of the euro of 7%.

In Europe 28th August 2014

Hollande’s new government ready for reforms

MADRID | The Corner | The economy is stagnant, the confidence of businesses and consumers continues to decline and unemployment is touching new highs. France is being forced to carry out reforms from all sides, hence François Hollande and Manuel Valls have chosen the social democrat Emmanuel Macron as Minister of Economy, confirming their willingness to pursue the economic reform agenda.

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