LatAm

EM Outlook 2016: Battle hardened or battle weary?

UBS | 2015 was likely to mark the fifth year of EM underperformance. The last time EM underperformed for as extended a spell as this was 1997-2001. And what a time to buy that was! Could 2016 provide a similar inflexion point? We would bet against it.


UBS: Brazil’s GDP growth loses momentum

MADRID | The Corner | 2014 is not being a good year for LatAm. All countries in the region with the exception of Colombia have experienced much softer than anticipated growth. In Brazil, the political noise and uncertainty have impacted on the confidence and private activity in 1H201, with investments and private consumption leading the way down. UBS analysts see now Brazil’s real GDP growth at 0.6% in 2014 and 1.5% in 2015.


Mexico must cut oil dependency

BARCELONA | By CaixaBank research team | In order to be effective, pending reforms in Mexico should make public revenue less dependent on oil, such as by eliminating income tax deductions.