us economy






Markets know the game: Reducing investors’ EPS expectations so firms can beat them

The Corner | April 12, 2015 | Earnings season is warming up on Wall Street. During the week the major US banks will present their results (tomorrow, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo), which will impact the course of American stocks in the short/medium term. Should US companies show a pessimistic picture with their 1Q earnings, that would mean the US economy is in worse shape than predicted. But are these expectations part of a wider game?


The global economy in the year 2018

Uncertainty hits global economy

MADRID | March 24, 2015 | By J.P Marín-Arrese | On face value, Europe is recovering from a bad spell while the US is growing at an invidious rate. However, the wild currency swing may yet destabilise the global economy. Janet Yellen’s remarks on the threat of an overvalued dollar were designed to preserve a balanced performance, and indeed sparked a quick reaction in exchange rates. Yet, as the ECB unfurls its massive quantitative easing programme, volatility in the currency markets could inflict further damage. 



The Federal Reserve was all set for mid-2015. Is that still true?

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas On December 2 2014, Stanley Fisher gave an interview (video) to Jon Hilsenrath of the WSJ. It was notable because Fischer had mostly been quiet, except for a couple of Lectures (not speeches) – herehere – given in international forums.  Six or seven weeks later, is that interview still pertinent? At that point oil prices stood at close to USD 70 and now they stand below 50. Mostly as a reflection of low global AD (here).The global scenario is changing quickly, and not for the better. So maybe Fischer is not so sure anymore. [Image:WSJ]