In the middle of all the trade battles of the US against the rest of the world, the European Union has considered a new strategy of collaboration with other regions and have signed with Japan its largest trade agreement ever. The deal will create an open trade zone covering over 600 million people.
Caixabank Research consider recent trends in human capital and the outlook for the future. The quality of the US workforce has undergone a remarkable transformation: over the past 70 years, the level of training has consistently improved. However, several studies also indicate that over the next few years, the contribution of human capital to growth could be more marginal. One of the main reasons for this is the retirement of the baby boomers.
Pablo Pardo (Washington) | The first economy in the world has been creating net employment without interruption for seven years and eight months. For now everything indicates it will continue to do so. And best of all: there is no wage inflation. In other words, it is impossible to understand what is happening in the US, although that does not prevent various theories being advanced to explain the situation.
Trump’s policies are boosting inflation, stimulating asset values, depreciating debt, increasing growth prospects and decreasing democrat chances at the forthcoming polls.
According to Julius Baer economists, “despite the perceived escalation of US tariffs quarrels being close to a trade war, they remain tit-for-tat trade disputes.” The missing economic rationale behind the tariffs supports their notion of a pure domestic motivation for the disputes.
Renfe could be working on opening an office in the US to pursue opportunities to enter the passenger train market. The initiative is part of the public operator´s internationalisation strategy, aimed at securing new sources of income in case of possible losses in the Spanish market when passenegr traffic is opened to competition in 2020.
US corporate debt rose to 45% of GDP at the peak of the Great Financial Crisis that began in 2008 , the same level it reached at the height of the dot.com bubble in 2000/01
As all signs point to a trade war with the United States, should the US impose tariffs on EU steel and aluminum, the European Union has decided to immediately activate balancing measures as an alternative to US tariffs which are intended to take effect on Friday June 1st.
Lukas Daalder (Robeco) | Investors are making the mistake of focusing on 3%, believing the returns on US fixed income securities augur a decline in equities
Ignacio de la Torre | The ECB’s deposit rate, which is now at -0.4%, will move to -0.2% during 2019 and later to 0%. At the same time, during the second half of 2019 the logical thing is for the ECB to begin to raise interest rates. These two factors should fuel a progressive rise in the Euribor from the summer of next year.