A futile Fed twist
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80% of EU banks’ 2011-maturity debt already issued
JP Morgan on Wednesday made a few hopeful remarks on EU banks’ financing needs by 2012 (not as dire as everyone believes) that our readers may want to savour. A couple of truths for a start, though: “Ideally, banks should use as little as possible repo windows such as the recent three months-dollar one because it would restore confidence, despite delivering in the short term a fix for dollar-funding problems…
80% of EU banks' 2011-maturity debt already issued
JP Morgan on Wednesday made a few hopeful remarks on EU banks’ financing needs by 2012 (not as dire as everyone believes) that our readers may want to savour. A couple of truths for a start, though: “Ideally, banks should use as little as possible repo windows such as the recent three months-dollar one because it would restore confidence, despite delivering in the short term a fix for dollar-funding problems…
IMF sharply reduces US growth forecasts
From Bankia, a Wednesday alert on global economic developments: the International Monetary Fund warns that the global economy is entering yet another new dangerous phase: “activity is weakening across the board, the agents’ confidence has plummeted, regional disparities persist and there are increasing risks of downturns in all different scenarios. “The IMF has revised its general forecasts pointing out a significant downturn: global growth would stand at 4% for both…
Barclays smells an ECB interest rate cut
Many in the euro zone would be happy seeing this Barclays forecast becoming true, not the least in its peripheral shores. “We have revised our ECB projection and look for the ECB to lower the main policy rate by 25bp at its meeting on 6 October, and to widen the interest rate ‘corridor’ back to +/-100bp, which would entail lowering the deposit facility rate by 50bp to 0.25%. In turn,…
The Fed’s twist in the words of JP Morgan
JP Morgan expects that US Federal Reserve will announce that it is to auction between $300bn and $400bn in Treasuries with one to three years to reach maturity, and that it will concentrate 70% of its purchases on seven to 12 year-maturity securities while the other 30% will be on longer maturities. The bank believes that the Fed will carry out these acquisitions within the next 6 months. “The benefit…
The Fed's twist in the words of JP Morgan
JP Morgan expects that US Federal Reserve will announce that it is to auction between $300bn and $400bn in Treasuries with one to three years to reach maturity, and that it will concentrate 70% of its purchases on seven to 12 year-maturity securities while the other 30% will be on longer maturities. The bank believes that the Fed will carry out these acquisitions within the next 6 months. “The benefit…
Santander: “EU banking stress tests will consider default scenarios with haircuts in trading and maturity portfolios”
Banco Santander analysts today chose a discouraging headline for the Ecofin event hosted last week in Eastern European territory: “Little progress in the Ecofin summit in Poland. It was not possible to release the next tranche of the loan to Greece, nor there was any progress regarding the EFSF, nor was the Finnish collateral difficulties unblocked. In fact, it seems that everything will be delayed until at least October.” The…
Santander: "EU banking stress tests will consider default scenarios with haircuts in trading and maturity portfolios"
Banco Santander analysts today chose a discouraging headline for the Ecofin event hosted last week in Eastern European territory: “Little progress in the Ecofin summit in Poland. It was not possible to release the next tranche of the loan to Greece, nor there was any progress regarding the EFSF, nor was the Finnish collateral difficulties unblocked. In fact, it seems that everything will be delayed until at least October.” The…
Spain’s Burgos is back on the oil business
