Spanish economy

OFICINA Empleo Spain

Temporary Layoffs Gradually Lifted In Spain: 1.56 M Workers Have Taken Up Their jobs, 1.8 M Still On Hold

The recovery in employment in Spain is proving to be a struggle at best, and a mirage at worst. The data shows that the trend in unemployment growth is slowing: unemployed in June rose by 5,100 people compared to 26,573 the previous month, 282,891 in April and 302,265 people in March. However, this month of June was the worst since 2008. The figure continues to exclude workers who are suspended from work or whose hours have been reduced as a result of a temporary layoff scheme.


Spain ratings

Spain Ends 1H20 On The Verge Of Recession With Structural Reforms And Fiscal Changes On the Horizon

Yesterday, it was confirmed the historical collapse of Spanish GDP: it declined 5.2% until March due to Covid-19, its biggest quarterly fall recorded in the historical series. With a contraction of the activivity in the second quarter greater than that in the first taken for granted, Spain is facing a recession. In this context, the Bank of Spain argues that the only way to bring the country’s accounts back under control after the pandemic will be the combination of fiscal adjustment and structural reforms. 


renewables toreras

BofA: “We stay overweight France, Spain and Italy.”

BofA Global Research | We stay overweight France, Spain and Italy, as they should benefit from a continued rebound in PMIs. We raise the UK to marketweight after the recent undershoot. We remain marketweight Germany, as it discounts much good news. We are underweight Switzerland, as it tends to underperform when improving growth momentum lifts bond yields.



Retail interest rates are high compared to other Eurozone's countries

The Bank Of Spain Will Keep The Counter-Cyclical Buffer At 0% Until It Returns To A Path Of Recovery

The Bank of Spain has decided to maintain the counter-cyclical capital buffer applicable to credit exposures in Spain at 0% during the third quarter of the year. It will probably also do the same in the coming quarters due to the current context of the coronavirus crisis as the severe macroeconomic and financial impact of the Covid-19 crisis require credit institutions to maintain the flow of financing to the real economy. The aim of the counter-cyclical capital buffer is to reinforce the solvency of the banking system in phases of excessive credit growth.


spain congress

Spain: The Dismal Inputs From The Reconstruction Committee

Juan Pedro Marín Arrese | Spain faces dire prospects according to most estimates, as its crucial tourist sector is taking a heavy toll. Up to now,the Government has struggled to mitigate the ensuing onslaught on employment by financing temporary layoffs and supporting low-income households. Yet, GDP will plunge in 2020 and will probably display a sluggish rcovery in the following couple of years. Lower income levels and a substantial surge in unemployment will sharply cut down demand and output.


Spain tourism GDP

IMF Forecasts: The Heavy Weighting Of The Tourism Sector Explains Sharp Downward Revision In Spain’s Expected Growth

Bankia Estudios | None of the world’s major economies will avoid an annual contraction in GDP, with the possible exception of China, which could grow by a modest 1%, reported the institution. As for the Spanish economy, it has cut forecasts from the -8% estimated in April to -12.8%. For 2021, it estimates 6.3% growth , so that next year the level of GDP will still be 7.3% lower than in 2019 (4% in the previous revision). Spain’s worse performance is mainly due to the heavy weighting of tourism sector in GDP.



spanish companies

Moodys Threatens To Lower Rating For Over 50% Of Spanish Companies

Moody’s has warned that over half of Spain’s non-financial companies rated by the credit agency are at risk of being downgraded in the next 18 months. This is in light of the prospect that their solvency will continue to weaken, even after the government relaxes restrictions on mobility and travel and eases social distancing. In fact, the ratings agency highlights that between March and May 2020, it took 29 negative actions on the ratings of Spanish non-financial companies.


Tourism

Spain Announces €4.25bn Package To Revive The Country’s Ailing Tourism Industry

Last week the Spanish government presented its Tourism Promotion Plan, to which over 4.250 billion euros will be assigned, mostly in the form of credits. Of the total amount of aid earmarked for the tourism sector, one of the most affected by the coronavirus pandemic, 93%, or almost 4 billion euros, will be granted via loans. A further some 275 million euros will be granted in the form of direct transfers.