Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | China’s debt-to-GDP ratio continued to decrease in Q4 2021 to 264.3% from 266.5% in Q3. Notwithstanding the deleverage path in 2021, the debt is still much higher than the pre-pandemic one (247.5% in Q4 2019). Chinese corporates contributed the most to the deleveraging process, as their debt to GDP ratio further dropped to 155.1% in Q4 2021 from 158.3% in Q3 2021. Because of the…
Miguel Navascués | There are many signs that the public think the crisis is over. One is the bankruptcy of Podemos, but there are many more. But has it ended? I doubt it.
Could the yuan substitute the dollar and become the predominant currency? I would ask the following question: if you had some dollars, would you change them for yuan? No you wouldn’t, would you? We would like to demonstrate that the yuan is in no way a substitute for the dollar.
By Alicia García-Herrero at Bruegel | Sitting on a pile of debt, China’s only way out is to deleverage: more pain now for sustainable growth later. [Figure: China’s augmented fiscal deficit as % of GDP.]
HONG KONG | June 18, 2015 | By Alicia García-Herrero via Caixin | Brazil’s economy is burdened by debt and China is leveraging at an unsustainable level, situations that could be exacerbated by Fed tightening.