Barry Eichengreen via Caixin | The trade deal announced recently by U.S. and China is not easy to evaluate, involving as it did everything from beef and poultry to liquefied natural gas. Washington and Beijing hailed it as an important breakthrough, but skeptical commentators dismissed it as little more than a repackaging of existing commitments.
Hu Shuli via Caixin | U.S. President Donald Trump’s ambitious proposal to cut corporate and individual taxes is adding to the external uncertainties affecting China’s economy. It follows projections of a faster-than-expected pace of interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Richard N. Cooper via Caixin | Shortly after the U.S. presidential election, and well before the Jan. 20 inauguration, I speculated about the impact on China if then-President-elect Donald Trump translated his campaign slogans (and tweets) into policy.
Benjamin Cole | The econosphere is again rumbling about Chinese debt and China banks, evidently forgetting the long serious faces made many times about Chinese debt and China banks in the recent past. But China keeps growing. Japan is another story that defies Western orthodox macroeconomics.
Yukon Huang via Caixin | China’s economic success over the past several decades coupled with America’s struggles to rebuild its economic base since the global financial crisis has spurred a debate about the relative roles for the state and market in guiding each country’s particular form of capitalism.
Barry Eichengreen via Caixin | During the U.S. electoral campaign, candidate Donald Trump repeatedly promised that he would brand China a currency manipulator on his first day in office. On Feb. 24 — his 36th day in office— President Trump then renewed his criticism, calling China a “grand champion” of currency manipulation.
Chinese investors want to make money and insist on having good information. Data applications are appearing on demand and there is a record level of collaboration on information amongst big businessmen.
With his policies, particularly protectionism, Trump is about to throw the US’ world leadership in the bin. He sold an illusion to his voters since the industrial jobs which disappeared with globalisation and technology will not return. What is clear is that the consequences will hurt us all.
Hu Shuli via Caixin | It has been six years since China adopted what has been tagged “a prudent monetary policy stance” in 2011. In practice, policies have been slightly eased to alleviate pressure from a slowing economy and rein in financial market fluctuations.
We can expect a rise in interest rates in 2017, driven up by the Fed, but fuelled by doubts over Europe. And I would bet the dollar will appreciate against the euro and the yuan – and sterling – although I am not normally a betting man.