ECB

No Picture

Today’s market chatter: Draghi and his playing the waiting game

MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | ECB’s Mario Draghi’s Thursday speech is still creating buzz in Madrid’s financial circles: markets reacted very positively to the never-ending promise. Also, Bank of Spain’s chairman José María Linde alerted entities to keep strengthening their balance sheets, and explained that NPL rate slowdown will be moderate until recovery settles in.


No Picture

The pernicious effects of an overvalued euro

MADRID | By Francisco López | While Mr. Draghi simply says that the ECB “is closely following the evolution of the exchange rate due to its impact on the price stability,” other international bodies such as the IMF, the OECD, the European Commission and most of the Eurozone’s countries (with the exception of Germany and its allies) demand the banking authority to take immediate action.


No Picture

Today’s market chatter: time to invest in Spanish real estate and much more

MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | Feel like investing in Spanish real estate?  It’s apparently the time, according to Bankinter analysts, as European prices continue their upwards trend, financing costs are low and we see price recovery signs in big cities like Madrid and Barcelona. They suggest direct investment assets with a horizon beyond 3-5 years. Also, the EU announced on Monday that the Eurozone’s GDP will grow by 1.2% this year and by 1.7% in 2015. As for Spain, Brussels is less optimistic than the Spanish government in its forecast.

 


No Picture

Former ECB executive: Draghi’s inaction weighing on credit lending

MADRID | By The Corner | For the first time a Spanish bank top executive has openly criticized the impact of the European Central Bank’s inaction on EZ credit lending. Spanish 2nd bank BBVA’s Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo, also a former ECB board member, explained how banks are waiting to see which unconventional measures will Mr Draghi undertake, which is “fundamental for credit,” he said to Reuters on Monday. Some entities are also holding back on new credit plans and selling sovereign debt before the health checks due around October. 

 


ecb

Waiting for QE (hope it’s not like Godot)

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | ECB policy makers are increasingly open about an eventual QE. Executive Board Member Benoît Coeuré was recently interviewed by French newspaper Le Monde. He weighed in austerity measures taken, and how could the ECB influence the level of the euro. As the central bank seems to be actually leaning towards unconventional measures, bonds and equity markets have already anticipated any announcements by Mario Draghi. But some fear what would happen if it was only lip service. What happened with the “whatever it takes” to preserve the eurozone’s integrity? 


No Picture

If only Citi was right and QE came…

MADRID | By The Corner | When Autumn comes, so will QE. At least that’s what economists at Citigroup are predicting. “We believe that the chances of unsterilized large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) of public and private assets being launched this year have (…) increased to more than 50:50,” they said in a note on Tuesday. How much of a stimulus shot are we talking about? To have any effect it should be of at least 1,000 billion euros ($1,381 billion), they note, which would lift the inflation rate toward the ECB’s “below, but close to 2% target”.  It could always be a decaffeinated step as some market makers are warning, but the truth is many on both sides of the Atlantic are hoping for Mr Draghi to make a move.


BoE

BoE raises expectations (and ECB misses them)

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | As ECB officials spend their time debating what form of QE the euro zone needs to fight deflation risk (note that although its inflation target is 2%, the central bank keeps on sitting on its hands while its balance sheet is shrinking), more data point to the positive effects of unconventional measures on growth. Check this one recently published by the Bank of England: the mere announcement of a QE shot corresponding to 1% of GDP caused a 0.36% real GDP increase and a 0.38% CPI rise in the U.S. ­–a little less in the U.K. Indeed, hope can move mountains… and money.

 



AQR

AQR fails to address banking woes

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | The ECB is frantically submitting to scrutiny up to 60% of risk-weighted assets from the 128 biggest banks in Europe. This step stands as its last chance to avoid inheriting former shortcomings and mismatches. When it takes over responsibility for supervision later on this year, it will be blamed for any financial blunder. No wonder it wants to ensure that no nasty surprise lies ahead.


europessimism

Euro pessimism is back on fashion

MADRID | J. P. Marín Arrese | Both the main economic institutions and think tanks cast a gloomy forecast on Europe. The IMF leads the way, advocating for swift action to revamp an ailing growth performance. Its blatant U-turn has drawn scarce criticism. Not so long ago, it endorsed hawkish views on the need to implement full-fledged austerity, no matter the cost, thus contributing to trigger the rotten conditions it now reviles.