There is a 100% possibility that the Federal Reserve will raise rates today. As a result, the interest rate outlook won’t be the subject of debate and the interest, more than ever, will be on how the Fed is going to manage its balance sheet. What’s clear is that the Fed’s balance sheet will remain bigger than it was in the past.
Julius Sen, Academic Director at the London School of Economics thinks that “we have a flexible model. The market knows it and plays with it, forcing looser monetary policies and tight fiscal policies with the stability pact in Europe and the ‘sequester’ in the US. Sen claims that “there will be debt reliefs in some eurozone countries.”
New risks and setbacks again threaten Europe’s economic sentiment.
UBS analysts explain some key aspects of Fed’s challenging task starting in September.
China’s unexpected decision to devaluate its currency triggers uncertainty in the markets.
An upcoming Fed interest rate hike now seems to be one of markets’ main focal points and concerns.
SAO PAULO | May 15, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | It´s such a bad ‘target’ that the Fed has been compelled to move the target frequently over the past couple of years, all the way from 6.5% to 5%-5.2%!
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes| The St Louis Fed Regional Economist has an interesting article: The Ups and Downs of Inflation and the Role of Fed Credibility. Although they likely don´t realize it, it reads like “last rites” to the present system.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | In a recent post John Taylor leans on Bob Hall to criticize NGDP Targeting. He goes: “In his paper at the recent Jackson Hole conference, Bob Hall criticized nominal GDP targeting, citing his 1994 paper with Greg Mankiw. Bob argues that “A policy of stabilizing nominal GDP growth would require contractionary policies to lower inflation when productivity growth is unusually high. Such a policy might easily trigger a spell at the zero lower bound.”
NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | Americans blame Bush more than Obama, who seems to be benefiting from the current economic stability. However, everything could change once the Fed stops injecting QE steroids.