SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | The Fed has never been comfortable with QE3; Many thought that QE ineffective; Bernanke felt compelled to clear the path for Yellen… But it has boosted “Forward Guidance” to make up (or more than make up) for the “taper”.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | This week is tapering week, and we will see the Fed’s first step towards a reduction of the quantitative easing. There is consensus about what the economic data show: every single indicator (except inflation) are more and more vigorous.
SAO PAULO | By Benjamin Cole at Marcus Nunes’ Historinhas | It is an old trick question: What state has not one but two of the 12 regional banks of the United States Federal Reserve System? Is it New York state, the nation’s financial, commercial and manufacturing powerhouse when the Fed was founded in 1913? Answer: Missouri.
NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | Thursday was Janet Yellen’s big day. In front of the Senate Banking Committee she ran through her prepared speech (released by the Fed on Wednesday) and acknowledged “the risks” of injecting QE steroids to the U.S. economy for too long. However, she argued, inflation is still too low and unemployment rate, too high. “The benefits exceed the costs” of the Fed’s current policies, she said. Will we see any tapering soon? Certainly, but not yet.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | It is a common occurrence with sports idols and some teen idols to be demonized in the next stage of their lives. But among Fed Chairmen, Alan Greenspan surely gets the ‘honor’ of being the first.
NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | If the Senate agrees and everything goes by the script, President Obama will pick Janet Yellen as the Federal Reserve’s next leader on Wednesday, the White House said. Ms. Yellen, 67, has been the Fed’s vice chairwoman since 2010 and would be the first woman to run the central bank. Among her first tasks is how quickly to wind down the U.S. expansionary monetary policy. Will she take even more aggressive measures to boost growth? If so, how will markets react?
NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | The U.S. Federal Reserve has been the talk of the town for weeks because of the tapering soap opera. But how much do we really know about the central bank on its centennial anniversary? An exhibit called “The Fed at 100” opened this Wednesday in New York, aiming to explore the Fed’s pivotal role throughout the history of American finance. And -that’s what we preferred- its response to economic crises.
MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | Christine Lagarde’s stern warning on potential problems ahead for emerging countries has been delivered in rather a blunt way: “even with the best of efforts the dam might leak”. At the annual Fed gathering in Wyoming she claimed “further lines of defence” were needed to address a financial crisis. The hike in interest rates following the prospect of a progressive tapering in asset purchases by the US, has induced a sharp reversal in fund flows between developed and emerging markets.
MADRID | All the “Great Depression” stories show how both the governments’ blindness and central banks made the crisis last longer. So it does makes sense that in the current crisis both governments and central banks have been active to take measures, although not necessarily successful and effective. However, the ECB has been less belligerent than other bankers and its members don’t hold homogeneous positions.
WASHINGTON | By Pablo Pardo | Maybe this time Bernanke is just trying to provoke a mini-crash to lay the foundations for a progressive withdrawal of the monetary stimulus in 2014 or, maybe, 2015.