Fed’s monetary policy

The odds of a next rates hike by the Ded

The Odds On An Early Rate Hike

The outstanding labour market performance in the US has triggered widespread speculation of a Fed rate hike as early as September. Nonetheless, most new jobs are part-time, while the hourly wage increase lags well behind its pre-crisis pace.

Daniel Tarullo

Meet the most important man in the Fed

CANCUN (MEXICO) | A long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away…” the Federal Reserve did not even announce its interest rate movements. Fed watchers had to infer the lending policy of the world’s most powerful central bank just by painstakingly perusing the documents–release, obviously, in paper–of the Fed’s open market operations.  




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Jeb Bush the populist

SAO PAULO | June 20, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via HistorinhasUS 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Jeb Bush has set his presidential goal at 4 percent growth and 19 million new jobs. To do that, he would first have to “recruit” the Fed. Unfortunately, if the Fed acquiesced bad things would happen.


Fed to stay dovish in new rates regime

The Corner | June 17, 2015 | The Federal Open Market Committee’s policy statement, due to be released today at 1800 GMT, is widely expected to signal a first rates’ hike in September. For the first time in eight years the outcome of the meeting is not constrained by the “forward guidance” commitment. Is the US economy healthy enough?


FED shelves forward guidance

MADRID | April 9, 2015 | By JP Marín ArreseAs the recovery pace of the US economy softens, FED policy makers are growing increasingly reluctant to raise rates too early. The March FOMC minutes released yesterday reveal they could only agree on deleting “patience” when referring to the foreseen tightening of the monetary stance.  Members seem split on the timing, with many openly advocating postponing the move until the end of this year or even into 2016. 

Fed's chairwoman Janet Yellen

Janet Yellen may soon run out of patience

MADRID | February 26, 2015 | By JP Marín ArreseThe FED is back in business after years of loose monetary policy aimed at redressing an ailing economy. With the business climate markedly improving, the time is ripe to raise rates. Yet, Janet Yellen has repeatedly warned against a swift hike, instead emphasising the need for patience until the upward trend is solidly anchored. In her testimony before the Senate Committee, she noted that policy would only cover the next two FOMC meetings, sparking speculation that the move could well start in June.