Fed’s rates hike

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Jeb Bush the populist

SAO PAULO | June 20, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via HistorinhasUS 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Jeb Bush has set his presidential goal at 4 percent growth and 19 million new jobs. To do that, he would first have to “recruit” the Fed. Unfortunately, if the Fed acquiesced bad things would happen.

UK US labour markets

US and UK separated by a common labour market performance?

LONDON | June 19, 2015 | UBS | There are some striking similarities currently between the US and UK labour markets. The unemployment rates are broadly the same, employment growth is similar, and the level of vacancies suggests continued jobs growth in both countries. Moreover, there are solid signs that pay growth has picked up in both the UK and US. 

china central bank

China: Be prepared to pass the test of the Fed’s next rates hike

BEIJING | May 27, 2015 | By Caixin Editorial Team | Emerging economies have been bracing themselves for a rise in U.S. interest rates. Last week, the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting in April sparked another round of speculation about when the rate hike might begin. Most now expect a start date in December, rather than September.


FED shelves forward guidance

MADRID | April 9, 2015 | By JP Marín ArreseAs the recovery pace of the US economy softens, FED policy makers are growing increasingly reluctant to raise rates too early. The March FOMC minutes released yesterday reveal they could only agree on deleting “patience” when referring to the foreseen tightening of the monetary stance.  Members seem split on the timing, with many openly advocating postponing the move until the end of this year or even into 2016.