A hundred-year stagnation? For who?
By Alberto Forchielli via Caixin | The prospects for growth in the West may be dim, but that doesn’t mean Asia’s developing countries must settle for privation.
stagnation
A hundred-year stagnation? For who?
By Alberto Forchielli via Caixin | The creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a necessary objective. Anyone who travels in the Far East finds confirmation of the desperate lack of efficient networks. With the exception of Japan and other developed economies, countries see their ambitions reduced by chronic underdevelopment. How can we forcefully industrialize agrarian countries if the goods produced are not transported on paved roads, via trucks, for eventual export?
A QE would be key for Germany, France and Italy to overcome their current stagnation
MADRID | By Francisco López | Are there reasons for such optimism after Draghi’s words in Jackson Hole? Yes, but only if Draghi dares to execute a program of sovereign debt purchases immediately. It happens that not all experts are clear that it will be the case. Especially, because the package of measures adopted by the ECB in June has still not been implemented: two TLTROs auctions and the Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) program. Would it not be better to wait to check the effects of these measures?
A diabolic loop of stagnation
MADRID | By Francisco López | Spanish banks face into the new era of banking union with their homework successfully completed, both in terms of adjustments and efficiency in the stress tests. Their balance sheets are healthy, although now a new challenge awaits: how to improve profitability in an adverse economic cycle, with rates close to 0% and with credit lending remaining worryingly low.
Bubbles, Regulation, and Secular Stagnation
MADRID | By Paul Krugman at Luis Arroyo’s Ilusión Monetaria | Looking at current macroeconomic policy, the obvious question is, stupid or evil? And the obvious answer is, why do we have to choose? But it is, I think worthwhile – or at any rate soothing – to think about the longer-term future for monetary and fiscal policy.