growth

In Spain 11th April 2025

IMF raises Spain’s growth forecast to 2.5% and recommends not increasing debt to finance defense spending

The increase in defense spending announced by Spain should not be financed at the expense of increasing the already high level of debt in our country’s economy. This is the recommendation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which asks Pedro Sánchez’s government to carry out cuts in other areas or tax increases to meet its commitments in defense matters. The IMF released on Thursday the preliminary conclusions that the institution’s…

In Spain, Relevant News Item, Spanish economy 30th May 2023

Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A- with a stable outlook and revises 2023 GDP growth forecast upwards to 1.9%

Bankinter : Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A- with a stable outlook. Fitch has revised the expected growth for 2023 upwards to 1.9% year-on-year (+0.7pp) reflecting “buoyant recovery in tourism and rising public sector investment. This has offset the weakness in private consumption, which recorded a second consecutive quarterly decline”. It projects a reduction in Public Debt/GDP to 110.4% by December 2024, “driven mainly by nominal GDP growth while primary…

In Spain, Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 25th May 2023

Círculo de Economía describes stagnation of Spanish economy

Fernando González Urbaneja| The government’s official discourse is unequivocal: Spain is doing well, the economy is doing very well. Vice-president Calviño comes out insistently with the concept of “leadership” to illustrate every decision of the government in economic and social matters. Gender parity means leadership; the Iberian exception is leadership; the growth of employment and GDP means leadership and so on and so forth. According to the government, Spain is…

Relevant News Item 17th May 2023

Eurozone GDP grows 0.1% in seasonally adjusted data in 1Q2023 compared to 4Q2022

Link Securities | According to the second estimate of the data, released yesterday by Eurostat, the Eurozone’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.1% in seasonally adjusted data in 1Q2023 compared to 4Q2022. In 42022 GDP had been stable in the Eurozone (0.0%). The reading was in line with the FactSet consensus of analysts. Compared to the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP in the Eurozone increased by…

In Spain, Spanish economy 16th May 2023

Brussels raises Spain’s growth forecast to 1.9%

The European Commission (EC) calculates that the Spanish economy will grow by 1.9% in 2023, five tenths above the winter forecast, and above the 1.1% forecast for the Eurozone and the 1% forecast for the European Union (EU) as a whole. Spain’s growth forecast for 2024 remains at 2%. The EC also reduced the Spanish inflation forecast to 4% for the current year, four tenths of a percentage point lower…

Spanish economy 24th March 2023

Spanish economy grows by 5.5% in 2022 after 0.2% year-end GDP rebound

Bankinter : 4Q2022 final GDP grows +2.6% year-on-year, adjusted one tenth of a percentage point lower than anticipated. In quarter-on-quarter terms it maintains the preliminary +0.2% year-on-year. GDP for 2022 as a whole confirms +5.5% year-on-year as preliminarily announced. Bankinter research team analysis: Final data for 4Q2022 confirm positive year-end dynamics, as do the indicators for the first months of 2023 (Manufacturing and Services PMIs in the expansion zone). The…

Spanish economy 22nd March 2023

Spain: upward revision of 2023 GDP growth forecast to 1.5% and 2.1% for 2024

CdM | The Funcas Panel has revised its GDP growth forecast for this year upwards by two tenths of a percentage point to 1.5%, as a result of better-than-expected developments in recent months. For the first time, in this Panel, which closed before the current episode of financial instability, the projections for next year have been requested. The consensus for 2024 anticipates an acceleration of the economy by six-tenths of…

In the World, Relevant News Item 13th March 2023

New Chinese Premier Li Qiang believes 5% growth target ‘will not be easy’

Link Securities | In his first press conference after becoming China’s new premier, Li Qiang said it will not be easy for China to reach the 5% growth target, and that it will require redoubled efforts. Li reiterated the specific policies developed last December at the Central Economic and Labour Conference (CEWC) and prioritised stability in growth, prices and employment. In addition, Li said China will coordinate macroeconomic policies by…

Spanish economy 27th January 2023

After reviewing figures three times, INE says Spain grew 5.5% in 2022

On December 23, the National Institute of Statistics reviewed Spain’s 2022 GDP growth, having already reviewed it in September and October. After all the revisions, two points were added to the growth of the first semester and 0.6 to that of the third quarter. Now, the statistics give a preview of GDP in 4Q22, which would have grown by +0.2%, with which growth for the year as a whole would…

Spanish economy 20th January 2023

IMF lowers growth forecast for Spain to 1.1% in 2023 and calls for fiscal consolidation

The IMF raises its growth forecast for Spain in 2022 to 5.2%, but lowers its forecast for 2023 to 1.1%. Thus, the IMF anticipates that activity will reach its pre-pandemic level at the beginning of 2024, when it expects GDP to grow by 2.4% and at a rate of 2.2% in 2025. As for inflation, the institution estimates an average price increase in 2022 of 8.4%, which will moderate this…

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