ECB

European economy 30th May 2025

ECB’s expectations for average Eurozone inflation over next 12 months rise in April to 3.1% from 2.9% in March

Link Securities | According to the monthly report published by the ECB, average inflation expectations in the Eurozone for the next 12 months rose in April for the second consecutive month to 3.1% and from 2.9% in March, standing at its highest level since February 2024. Inflation expectations for the next three years remained unchanged in April at 2.5%, while inflation expectations for the next five years stood at 2.1%…

European economy 23rd February 2025

ECB says inflation risks increasingly ‘skewed to upside’ and could consider ‘pauses’ in rate cuts

BancaMarch | The ECB could discuss ‘pauses’ in rate cuts. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the ECB’s executive board, has said that the monetary authority could be close to ending the process of rate cuts in the eurozone, concluding that the risks surrounding inflation are increasingly ‘skewed to the upside’. It should be remembered that, since the summer, the ECB has cut the price of money relatively quickly, and everything…

European economy, In Europe 2nd January 2025

ECB expects to reach 2% inflation target this year

Banca March: The ECB expects to reach the 2% inflation target this year. This was stated yesterday, Wednesday, by the President of the institution, Christine Lagarde, on the X social network. It should be recalled that price growth slowed down last year, even falling below the ECB’s target in September, although prices have picked up again in recent months. The slowdown has allowed the monetary authority to cut interest rates…

European economy 26th December 2024

Lagarde says inflation very close to target, but urges vigilance on services inflation

Norbolsa | Christine Lagarde has declared that they are very close to bringing inflation to target, while warning that services inflation still requires close monitoring. The other focus of questions is around the impact of Trump’s tariff measures, again coming out in defence of free trade and the danger of such policies. The Governor of the Irish Central Bank, Gabriel Makhlouf, also said that Trump’s policies are unpredictable, and is…

In Europe 19th December 2024

ECB highlights strength of European banks with CET1 capital ratio of 15.8%, slightly increases capital requirements by 10 b.p. by 2025

Bankinter: The European Central Bank highlights the solidity of banks and slightly increases capital requirements for 2025. The ECB gives a positive assessment of the sector’s liquidity and solvency position with a CET1 capital ratio of ~15.8% and leverage of 5.8% (capital/total assets). By 2025 it is to increase capital requirements by 10 bps to 1.2% of RWAs (Risk Weighted Assets). Our view: We have a positive assessment of the…

In Europe 17th October 2024

ECB to cut rates

Ben Nichols, Managing Director at RAW Capital Partners | The European Central Bank (ECB) has been signalling for several weeks that another rate cut was imminent, so this morning’s announcement is unlikely to trigger a significant market reaction. With Eurozone inflation falling to 1.8% in September, policymakers appear optimistic about the trajectory of the European economy, though inflation may rise again in Q4 due to base effects from last year’s…

In Europe 16th October 2024

Lagarde should act now

j.P. Marín-Arrese | Headline inflation is markedly dropping in Europe, even if the core one trails behind. Plummeting energy costs have played a key role in reining in prices. Yet, the ongoing Middle East crisis could derail this process. Later this year, the unfolding of tax rebates to relieve consumers badly hit by the inflationary bout will feed fresh pressures. Thus, unless the ECB resolutely cuts rates in the October…

European economy 11th October 2024

ECB highlights weak economy and justifies rate cut by CPI slowdown

Bankinter: ECB minutes of the meeting of 12 September. The focus in the markets has shifted towards economic growth to the detriment of inflation, which has moderated in recent months. Fears of a slowdown in the US economy have raised expectations that the Fed will cut rates more aggressively than the ECB. This approach has carried over to Europe in the face of a somewhat weaker macro picture than in…

European economy 12th September 2024

ECB to cut rates

Ben Nichols, Managing Director of RAW Capital Partners | Today’s decision aligned with market expectations, and recent macroeconomic data – such as Q2 GDP growth of 0.3% in the Eurozone – supports the ECB’s ongoing monetary easing strategy. Although inflation hasn’t yet hit the central bank’s 2% target, the Eurozone appears to be on a stable path to recovery, with GDP projected to grow by 1% in 2024. With the…

European economy 24th July 2024

Peter Kazimir (ECB) says bets on two rate cuts this year are not misplaced

Link Securities | Slovak central bank governor and European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Peter Kazimir said yesterday in an opinion piece reported by Bloomberg that market bets on two more rate cuts this year are not ‘completely misplaced’. However, he pointed out that they should not be taken as ‘a given or a reference scenario’. In that sense, Kazimir said that they (ECB) are on the way back…

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