Positive economic data from China last week gave markets the confidence that there is a way out of the ongoing slump for the global economy. But are the US and Europe going to paint an equally encouraging picture? The US will disclose its third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth numbers on Thursday 29 October while Eurozone’s figures will be released the following day. Quarter-on-quarter GDP change in Q3 is forecasted to be 29.9% for the US (after a decline of 31.4% in Q2) and 9.3% for Eurozone (after a fall of 11.8% in Q2). Risk assets will draw comfort from knowing that an economic recovery is underway globally.
Financial markets remain volatile with the concerns about the virus spillover effect being the main market driver. After yesterday’s equity rebound, declines in the equity markets have resumed today, with market risk measures such as VIX soaring to 37, although moderated afterwards but remains above 30.
The People’s Bank of China pumps 1.2tn yuan into the financial system to protect the economy from the coronavirus Global stocks extended their rally last week despite concerns that the coronavirus will slow global growth. Experts at Julius Baer continue to argue that stocks are susceptible to a short-term correction and consider any weakness as an entry opportunity for long-term investors.
As investors are still struggling to properly price the impact of the coronavirus, volatility in financial markets remains elevated. Risk-on sentiment returned to the markets yesterday, putting pressure on gold. Barring a longer-lasting impact on Chinese growth, we do not expect much more fundamental short-term support from the virus for gold. However, on a longer-term horizon we still see upside and maintain a Constructive view.
Iberdrola is selling its entire stake in German turbine manufacturer Siemens Gamesa, representing 8.07 % of its share capital. The price for the transaction is €1.1 Bn, which equals to €20 per share, plus a premium of 32%.
The aim of the move would be to obtain government approval for the operation, a necessary condition for it to be successful. SIX’s purchase proposal includes the commitment to maintaining BME’s current brands, headquarters, business lines and offices. It also upholds the company’s strategy in Spain for four years, which could now be extended.
Dave Yin (Caixin) | China is making major revisions to its antitrust law for the first time in more than 11 years to give it more teeth while reining in the dominance of the country’s internet goliaths.China is making major revisions to its antitrust law for the first time in more than 11 years to give it more teeth while reining in the dominance of the country’s internet goliaths.
Telefónica’s decision to reduce its reliance on Huawei is in line with the company’s strategy to have several different providers for the equipment for its 5G networks, which is expected to be widely deployed by 2022.
Alejandro Arevalo (Jupiter’s Head of Strategy, Emerging Markets) | One might think that emerging market debt has had difficult year, but it’s been quite the opposite. At the time of writing, the major EM hard currency indices have all returned more than 11% year to date.
Renta4 | The oil company has returned to the market for the first time since May 2017, closing an issue of 8 year bonds for 750 M€ at a price of 99.684% and fixed annual coupon of 0.25%, whose trading admission will be sought in the Luxembourg stock market.