Singular Bank | According to the Bank of Spain, Spain’s current account balance showed a slight decline during the month of June, moderating its surplus to €5.02 billion, down from €5.56 billion in May. The current account balance in the first six months of the year recorded a surplus of €25.4 billion, an increase of 33% compared with the same period in 2023, according to data published by the Bank…
CdM | In July, the fall in electricity prices caused inflation to drop six tenths of a percentage point, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) falling to 2.8%, according to the final data published by the National Statistics Institute (INE). The moderation in food prices also contributed. The CPI is thus at its lowest level since February and has now fallen for two consecutive months after the rises recorded in…
CdM | The Spanish economy grew by 0.8% in the second quarter of the year, the same as in the previous quarter, and accelerated its year-on-year growth by three tenths of a percentage point to 2.9%, according to the advance National Accounts data published on Tuesday by the National Statistics Institute (INE). Domestic demand contributed two points to year-on-year GDP growth, while foreign demand contributed nine tenths of a point….
CdM | The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% in May compared to the previous month and raised its year-on-year rate by three tenths to 3.6%, thus registering its highest level since April 2023, according to data released on Thursday by the National Statistics Institute (INE). Annual CPI rate The agency explained that the rise in the CPI to 3.6% is due to the increase in electricity prices, following…
March | Industrial production costs continue to fall in Spain, albeit at a slower pace. April’s data showed a -0.2% monthly fall in industrial production prices, bringing the year-on-year decline in industrial costs to -6.6% from -8.2% previously. With this figure, producer prices have now fallen for more than a year (they entered negative territory in March last year), while in terms of the underlying rate (excluding energy), industrial cost…
Bankinter | Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A- and the outlook “Stable”, given the resilience of the economy and the improvement in the labour market. Fitch estimates GDP growth of 2.1% and 2.0% for 2024 and 2025 respectively. Moreover, the credit rating agency points to the need to address the high structural unemployment rate. No surprises for our analysts: “Fitch maintains its credit rating one notch below S&P’s equivalent at…
CdM | Inflation accelerated by one tenth of a percentage point in April, to 3.3%, mainly due to higher gas and food prices, according to the advance CPI data published on Monday by the National Statistics Institute (INE). If confirmed on 14 May, core inflation, i.e. once the most volatile items in the shopping basket (unprocessed food and energy products) are removed, will have moderated by 0.4 percentage points to…
Bankinter| Moody’s with Spain’s credit rating at Baa1 raised its outlook to positive from stable. S&P maintained its rating at A with a stable outlook. Moody’s outlook upgrade is based on a more balanced growth pattern, low private sector leverage, a robust banking sector, a stronger labour market and current account surpluses. S&P maintained its credit rating and stable outlook on the back of “resilient” economic growth, although it notes…
Bankinter : Final CPI January 2024 confirms +3.4% year-on-year (from +3.1% year-on-year previously). Underlying CPI also confirms +3.6% year-on-year (from 3.8% year-on-year previous). Month-on-month 0.1% month-on-month (from 0.0% month-on-month Dec-23) and in the Underlying -0.4% month-on-month (from +0.2% month-on-month Dec-23). Analysis: With no surprises, the final January data confirm the provisional figures. The difference between the General and Underlying Rate narrows to 0.2pp. The increase in the headline rate is…
Bankinter: Preliminary CPI for October repeats at +3.5% year-on-year (vs. +3.8% expected and from +3.5% previously). The Underlying figure slackens to +5.2% year-on-year (compared to +5.6% expected and from +5.8% previously). On a month-on-month basis, the headline rate rebounds +0.3% and the core +0.4%. More details are available in the press release from the National Statistics Institute linked here. According to Bankinter experts, “the figure is better than expected. Headline…