IMF

In the World, World economy 6th May 2026

IMF Managing Director warns of adverse scenario of 2.5% global growth and inflation above 5%

Norbolsa | The IMF director warns that with the conflict dragging on and oil prices heading towards $120, we are moving away from the baseline scenario—which envisaged a moderate impact on growth—towards the adverse scenario, which envisaged global growth of 2.5% and inflation above 5%. At the same forum, the chairman of Chevron warned that product supply shortages will begin to be felt, with Asian demand adjusting to lower supply.

In the World, World economy 22nd April 2026

IMF and World Bank to mobilise additional $150 billion to mitigate energy shock in emerging economies

Norbolsa | Last weekend saw the conclusion of the IMF and World Bank meetings, amid concerns over the impact of geopolitical shocks and the fleeting optimism generated by news of the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Nevertheless, it became clear that the expectation of the US as a decisive force in resolving global conflicts cannot be sustained, given the increasing frequency of geopolitical impacts. Nevertheless, they committed to mobilising…

In the World, World economy 31st July 2025

IMF raises global growth forecast two tenths to 3% for 2025 and one tenth to 3.1% for 2026

Bankinter | Yesterday, the IMF revised its global GDP growth forecasts upwards for both 2025 to 3.0% year-on-year (from 2.8% in its April 2025 projection) and for 2026 to 3.1% (from 3.0% previously). By country, it made a general improvement in its forecasts for 2025 as tariff uncertainty cleared somewhat (US 1.9% versus 1.8% previously; EMU 1.0% versus 0.8% previously and Japan 0.7% versus 0.6% previously). The revision for China…

World economy 18th July 2024

IMF warns of possible persistence of inflation but maintains growth projections for 2024 at 3.2%

BancaMarch: The IMF warns of the possible persistence of inflation, in the face of potential trade and geopolitical risks and service prices that remain high due to wage growth. The IMF’s report forecasts high interest rates for longer. Moreover, chief economist Gourinchas said that the Fed can afford to wait to cut rates to avoid inflationary surprises. Regarding their GDP growth projections, they have kept the previous April estimate for…

World economy 18th April 2024

IMF revises growth projections upwards, signals “soft landing” for global economy

BancaMarch | The good and “less good” news from the IMF forecasts. Starting on the more optimistic side, they revise growth projections slightly upwards and suggest that the global economy may be approaching a “soft landing”. The “less good” refers to projections over a five-year horizon (+3.1%), the lowest in decades. GDP growth estimates for the global economy in 2024 increase by one tenth of a percentage point from those…

In Europe 31st January 2024

IMF forecasts back soft landing and point to Spain as eurozone leader

BancaMarch: International Monetary Fund forecasts support a soft landing. Global economic growth estimates for 2024 have been revised upwards by two tenths of a percentage point, maintaining the same levels as in 2023, +3.1%. This is due to the improved outlook for the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies. In the case of the United States, the variation in GDP falls from +2.5% in 2023 to +2.1%…

World economy 4th October 2023

IMF considering increasing China’s voting rights to reflect its position in global economy

Banca March: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is considering increasing China’s voting rights to bring its share in the fund in line with its position in the global economy. Each country contributes a quota based on various factors reflecting economic positioning relative to the world economy. This quota designates the amount each country has to pay into the fund, as well as its voting rights. Currently, the Asian giant has…

In the World, Relevant News Item 6th May 2023

IMF points to ‘uncertainty’ over Japan’s monetary policy

BancaMarch | The International Monetary Fund today alluded to “uncertainty” around the direction of Japan’s monetary policy, saying a possible shift to ultra-low interest rates could have a significant impact on global financial markets. Krishna Srinivasan, head of the agency’s Asia-Pacific Department, also pointed to risks surrounding Asia’s economic outlook, such as weakening exports to advanced economies, slowing productivity in China and fragmentation of global trade.

In the World, World economy 27th March 2023

IMF warns of heightened risks to financial stability

Banca March : Kristalina Georgieva, head of the IMF, has warned of increased risks to financial stability, which “come at a time of higher debt levels”. Georgieva recalled that the global GDP growth forecast is below 3%, mainly due to the war in Ukraine and the restrictive monetary policy.

Spanish economy 25th January 2023

IMF believes Spain will not reach pre-pandemic GDP level until 2024 with growth of 2.4%.

Alphavalue /Divacons| According to the IMF, the slowdown in Spain’s projected growth in 2023 compared to last year “reflects the effects of higher energy and food prices, tighter financial conditions and weaker external demand”. The agency anticipates that activity will reach its pre-pandemic level in early 2024, when it expects GDP to grow by 2.4% and at a rate of 2.2% in 2025. As for inflation, the institution estimates an…

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