banking sector

banks general

Drop in Euribor causes downward revision of expected profits in Spanish banking sector

Morgan Stanley | Our analyst expects the NII of Spanish banks to fall by 0.9% quarter-on-quarter on average due to seasonality, while the growth in deposits will offset lower rates in the short term. He believes that the guidance for 2024 will remain unchanged. Looking ahead to the numbers for 2025/26 and following the downgrade of the sector this week, he reduces the Euribor estimate from 2.5% to 2.25% on…



Caixabank kio 2

With world’s highest savings rate at 15%, European banks’ profits will hold up

Morgan Stanley | Our analyst A. S. reiterates the OW on European banks as, among other things, he believes that earnings are going to be more resilient than the market is discounting. The savings rate in Europe is at 15% (the highest in the world) and should be able to be monetised in a positive rate environment into deposits and asset management products, rather than the bond market. He estimates…


CCyB

Bank of Spain announces intention to gradually implement 100bp Countercyclical Capital Buffer for banks

Jefferies | The Bank of Spain announced the intention to gradually implement a 100bp CCyB for the banks, alongside a revision of the methodology through which the buffer is set. The announcement should not come as a surprise, given recent debate during the 1Q24 earnings season. We see a manageable impact from the higher capital requirements, and no immediate risk to the banks’ stated CET1 ratio targets or capital distribution…


banks general 777x400

“Financial institutions could fictitiously show a profitable and happy world. For a while at least. In these lines we explain how”

ARISTÓBULO DE JUAN, FORMER DIRECTOR GENERAL OF INSPECTION AT THE BANK OF SPAIN | Once upon a time there was a financial system that appeared to be in good health. Everyone knew how important banking was for a country. For it was the conduit of the payment system and the transmitter of monetary policy. It was also the repository and manager of the country’s idle resources and the channel for…


Spanish Banks

The six listed Spanish banks to pay out seven billion in dividends in one month

More than five million shareholders of Spanish listed banks will receive more than €7,000 million in dividends in the coming weeks, according to Expansión newspaper. CaixaBank leads the ranking in terms of amount, with more than €2,890 million that will be distributed among its investors. It is followed by BBVA, with more than €2,200 million and Santander, which climbs to third place on the podium, with €1,500 million. Medium-sized institutions…


Moodys

Moody’s revises ratings of 15 Spanish financial institutions: from A2 on Santander to Baa2 on Sabadell

Moody’s has revised some ratings of 15 Spanish financial institutions following its assessment of “an improvement in operating and credit conditions in Spain, which has implied the upgrading of Spain’s macroeconomic profile to strong”. The decisions also take into account the revision of Spain’s rating outlook from stable to positive on 15 March. The agency upgraded the senior preferred ratings of CaixaBank and Ibercaja and revised the outlooks of several…


Caixabank sede madrid

Caixabank CEO says bank taxes are brake on further consolidation of European banking sector

Link Securities| At a round table organised by the Bank of Spain (BdE) to celebrate ten years of the Single Supervisory Mechanism, the CEO of Caixabank (CABK), Gonzalo Gortázar, told the main financial supervisors that taxes on banking are a brake that does not help further consolidation of the European banking sector, as reported on Wednesday by Expansión. “In the last eleven years, the bank’s return on capital has been…


banco espana guapito

Spanish banks expand +9 b.p. in credit due to New York Community Bancorp’s collapse against +27 b.p. for German banks

Santander Research : After last week’s stock market collapse of regional bank New York Community Bancorp, in Europe, the alarm bell was sounded by Deutsche Pfandbriefbank. By country, the biggest stock market falls are in French (BNP -14%, SocGen -9%) and German banks; while, in credit, the biggest increases are in German banks (+27bp), followed by Spanish (+9bp), French (+8bp) and Italian (+6bp) banks. The upgrade by S&P of Banco…


Spain's banking sector

Spanish banks’ profitability rises to 11.92% in 3Q23, now at all-time high, says Bank of Spain

CdM | Spanish banks achieved an annualised return on equity of 12.3% in the third quarter of 2023, compared to 11.92% in the previous quarter and 10.25% in the same quarter of 2022, according to supervisory statistics on credit institutions published on Friday by the Bank of Spain, and reported by Europa Press. This profitability figure is still far from the 14.88% recorded in the first quarter of 2021, although…