debt

Debt

Spain now spends more on debt interest—€40 Billion—than on unemployment or defence

In 2025, spending on public debt interest reached €40.314 billion, nearly 4% more than the previous year, which closed at €38.793 billion. According to Government forecasts, this figure will rise again in 2026, reaching a cost of €42.059 billion. This stands in contrast, for example, to spending on unemployment benefits (approximately €25 billion) or defence (estimated at around €34 billion). In 2024, the cost of borrowing had already hit a…


economia espana

Spanish public debt moderates to 102.3% of GDP in July compared to a year ago, at €1.68 trillion

CdM | In July, public administration debt moderated its weight on gross domestic product (GDP) to 102.3%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points compared to a year earlier. In absolute terms, it stood at €1.68 trillion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.9%, according to data from the Excessive Deficit Protocol published by the Bank of Spain. By subsector, central government debt stood at €1.525 trillion, with a year-on-year increase…


GLOBALDEBT

Global debt issuance reached new high in 2024

Círculo de Empresarios | According to the OECD, in 2024 global debt issuance surpassed $25 trillion, while the global stock of debt exceeded $100 trillion. Following a brief pause during the pandemic, the global debt-to-GDP ratio has recovered its upward trend. More than half of OECD-sovereign and global corporate debt is currently paying interest costs below the prevailing market rates


espana europa billete

Spanish public administrations’ debt at €1.630 trillion in January, up 2.8% year-on-year

Link Securities | Yesterday, Expansión newspaper reported that the debt of Spanish public administrations as a whole stood at €1.630 trillion in January, which represents an upturn of 2.8% in year-on-year terms. The amount is the second highest in the historical series, according to data from the Bank of Spain (BdE). In the last 12 months public debt has increased by €50,897 million, while in relation to the month of…


World map

The world is more than 20 times as indebted as it was 25 years ago. What will the new normal be?

Julio López (Attutude Gestión SGIIC) |Beethoven’s Symphony No. 5 in C minor was first performed in 1808, but gained particular prestige during World War II. The British noticed that the famous opening theme (da-da-da-dum) had the same rhythm as the letter V in Morse code (. . . …) so the symphony became a symbol of victory over Nazism: the BBC always began its broadcasts to occupied Europe with those…


espana europa billete

Moody’s estimates Social Security system’s deficit will increase from 0.5% in 2022 to 1.4% in 2030

Link Securities| The risk rating agency Moody’s estimates that the Spanish Social Security deficit “will increase significantly” over the next two decades in the absence of new adjustment measures as a result of the ageing of the population and higher spending on pensions that involves linking their rise to inflation, which could negatively affect Spain’s credit rating, currently at “Baa1” with a “stable” outlook, according to the newspaper Expansión on…


bce 4mayo2023

ECB warns of risks associated with liquidity in real estate and debt market

Banca March| The European Central Bank (ECB) continues to see “vulnerability” in the markets given the new interest rate scenario, which in its opinion poses higher financing costs for companies and households that could trigger a liquidity crisis, given the need for massive asset sales in a hypothetical panic scenario. This vulnerability would be concentrated above all in real estate funds and in the debt market, this being one of…


eeuu capitolio

General consensus to raise debt ceiling in US Congress: “default is not an option”

Norbolsa | After Tuesday’s meeting, both Biden and congressional leaders were optimistic about a deal to raise the debt ceiling “in the coming days” even though McCarthy insisted that positions are still far apart. For his part, Biden publicly stated that during the negotiations there was a general consensus that “default is not an option” and thus lowered fears of a worst-case scenario.


Market discounts ECB cut in deposit rate

Fixed income: rising nominal yields should push up real yields

Deutsche Bank : The recent credit event in the US banking sector has caused considerable uncertainty about the outlook for policy rates. However, financial authorities have reacted strongly. In addition, the US labour market remains solid and inflation is becoming entrenched. In our view, this continues to justify a “higher for longer” official rate outlook. Although two-year US Treasury yields are falling from their cycle high, they remain, along with…


money1

Expectations about role of the State may be frustrated by declining spending and decreasing government effectiveness

Agnieszka Gehringer (Flossbach von Storch Research Institute) | Governments are increasingly being given new tasks to achieve various economic policy objectives. Looking at the major eurozone members, this report shows that high expectations about the role of the state in solving the most pressing problems may be frustrated by declining productivity of public spending and decreasing government effectiveness. Public spending in the four large euro area Member States, Germany, France,…