In Europe

France case scenario after elections

Riots fuel France’s risk premium, hitting highs not seen since 2012

The recent escalation of social tension in France, featuring an intense wave of protests and riots over the high cost of living, has ultimately dealt a direct hit to market confidence in the country’s sovereign debt. The spread between the yield on the 10-year French bond and the German bund (France’s risk premium) has surged to near 148 basis points. This is a peak level not seen since 2012, during…

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Avanza Previsión: “Spanish debt is holding up, but it cannot remain decoupled indefinitely from the pace set by Germany and France”

The rise in funding costs reflects growing political and fiscal tensions in France, as well as Germany’s increased borrowing requirements. Although Spanish debt is showing greater relative resilience, the writer maintains that “to believe this resilience amounts to an island of immunity would be an exercise in dangerous blindness”. Reported by Sergio Mensaque The European sovereign debt market is undergoing a period of profound upheaval, breaking through technical barriers that…