Housing market slowing down, but sharp correction unlikely

Caixabank | Housing sales remain elevated (649,000 units in 2022, the highest since 2008) but there are emerging signs of deceleration of housing demand: in December housing sales declined by 10.2% year-on-year and new credit for house purchases declined by 14.2% year-on-year. We expect housing sales to decline sharply in 2023 (-24% to 480,000) mainly due to the impact of the increase in interest rates and the impact of higher…

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Crédito y CauciónCrédito y Caución
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ECB to help banking sector, if needed, but considers it strong

Bankinter : The ECB raises the reference rates +50 b.p.: Deposit: +3.00%, Director +3.50% and Credit Marginal +3.75%. In line with what the ECB anticipated in February. However, it does not comment on future steps. It revises its inflation forecasts downwards, to +5.3% in 2023 (vs +6.3% previously estimated), +2.9% in 2024 (vs +3.4% previously) and +2.1% in 2025 (vs +2.3% previously). In her subsequent appearance, Lagarde says that upcoming…

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Banner CIR, junio 2022

Federal Reserve

Fed to consider stricter regulation for medium-sized banks

Banca March | The collapse of SVB and Signature Bank has prompted the Fed to consider extending regulatory restrictions that so far only apply to large Wall Street banks. This would include stricter capital and liquidity requirements, as well as annual stress tests. Specifically, according to Reuters, the institution is currently reviewing the capital and liquidity requirements it imposes on banks, especially those with assets of between $100 and $250…

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Carlos Delclaux: “Europe has busied itself with giving lessons… but it has grown very fat with contentment”

Fernando Rodriguez: Interview with Carlos Delclaux, president of Vidrala and Vocento board member. “The EU has busied itself lecturing the whole world on renewable energies. But a project of this magnitude should have guaranteed supply, and an orderly transition process to ensure that along the way you don’t run out of industry or that citizens don’t suffer ‘energy poverty’… But Europe has grown too fat with contentment. And we are…

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“We are facing a change of era rather than a change of cycle”

Fernando González Urbaneja & Luis Martí | Agustín Carstens, Managing Director of the Bank for International Settlements, Basel (BIS), explains that “I think this is a change of era. While it is true that it may coincide with a change of cycle, I believe we are facing a change of era for several reasons. There are structural factors that helped us during the last few years, since before the global…

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…in the last week