China

World economy 11th September 2024

Chinese import growth signals buoyant domestic demand, but exports deteriorate

Bankinter : Trade Balance (August): $91,020M vs. $81,100M expected vs. $84,650M previous. Exports: +8.7% vs. +6.6% expected vs. +7.0% previous. Imports: +0.5% vs. +2.5% expected vs. +7.2% previously. Opinion of Bankinter’s analysis team: Import growth marks a two-year high, reflecting the dynamism of domestic demand, which is increasing this month. However, the sharp slowdown in exports, which were the key to the recovery of GDP in 2Q24, is a negative…

In the World 30th August 2024

China now controls export of crucial semiconductor materials, affecting Western supply chains for advanced chips and military hardware

One aspect that should not be neglected is an international trade that, especially where China is concerned, is becoming more tense. While the EU and the US have already taken the step of increasing their tariffs, it is now Canada that has announced a 100% tariff on imports of Chinese electric vehicles and another 25% tariff on steel and aluminium imported from China. More than the material effects of the…

In the World, World economy, World politics 23rd August 2024

China announces investigation against imports of certain EU dairy products

BancaMarch: China raises the tone in the trade war, now with dairy. China’s Ministry of Commerce announced on Wednesday that it will launch an investigation against imports of some dairy products from the European Union. According to the Chinese executive, the investigation is being launched at the request of the country’s Dairy Industry Association, which claims that products such as fresh cheese, curd and cream receive subsidies from the EU…

European economy, European politics, In Europe, Relevant News Item 22nd August 2024

EC lowers tariffs on Chinese car imports after concluding investigation

Link Securities | As part of the conclusions of the European investigation into China’s anti-competitive subsidies, the European Commission (EC) has revised tariffs on Chinese car imports downwards, after gaining a clearer picture of the support enjoyed by China’s car industry, according to Expansión newspaper on Tuesday. In this sense, the EC said yesterday that it considers that Chinese manufacturers enjoy an “unfair” advantage because of the subsidies they receive…

In the World 22nd July 2024

Third Plenum points to more muddling through but with more mud than ever

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | China’s long-awaited Third Plenum is finally over. Four days of high-level meetings (from July 15 to 18) among Party leaders ended with a perplexingly vague read-out of the meeting. The press conference on July 19 has not managed to assuage China watchers’ general impression of an uneventful gathering even if 300 reforms have been counted from official media but, reportedly, most of which already underway….

European economy 14th June 2024

EC finalises new tariffs on Chinese EV imports: taxes set to rise from 10% to around 25%

Norbolsa | The European Commission (EC) is finalising new tariffs on Chinese EV imports, following a lengthy investigation into state subsidies. Taxes on these vehicles could rise from the current 10% to around 25%, according to EU sources, but the figures are still being fine-tuned and countries such as Germany are pushing to lower them because of their dependence on China. Berlin has accepted higher tariffs, but is trying to…

World economy 3rd June 2024

Financial outflow-driven RMB will not help correct China’s external imbalance

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | Since the trade war, and in particular after the imposition of US tariffs on China’s electric vehicles and solar panels, market observers have been speculating whether the PBoC will allow further depreciation of the yuan to counteract the impact. The latest RMB movement seems to indicate that this is the case, but the actual situation is more complex than it appears at first glance.The experience…

In the World 31st May 2024

European investors in China are facing weak demand, more competition and tougher regulations

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | China has long been a focal point for global companies, European ones included. However, a shift seems to be happening with foreign direct investment (FDI) into China, as it is now plummeting rather than booming. In fact, China’s inward FDI has turned to negative growth for the first time in 25 years. Several questions seem warranted when exploring this phenomenon. Firstly, the deceleration of FDI in…

World economy 28th May 2024

China launches third phase of the $47.5 billion “Big Fund” for semiconductor development

Banca March | China has launched the third phase of the “Big Fund”, amounting to 344 billion yuan ($47.5 billion) dedicated to the development of semiconductors. This phase brings together the largest amount of the three phases: the first phase of 138.7 billion yuan in 2014 and the second phase of 204 billion yuan in 2019. The aim of this fund is to build an independent supply chain, after years…

World economy 14th May 2024

China’s luxury consumption story to stall against structural economic deceleration

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | China has become one of the most important luxury consumption markets for foreign brands, but economic headwinds may cloud the outlook. With rising purchasing power and appetite in luxury spending, Chinese consumers have become more relevant globally. This report addresses what to expect in China’s luxury segment amid structural economic deceleration and geopolitical tensions. Introducing Natixis China Luxury Consumption Index We aim to analyze the…

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