According to JP Morgan, taking the last 30 years, it appears evident that the S&P500 has an average annual return of 7.5%, which makes sense considering an average annual inflation of 3.5% coupled with an average GDP increase of 3% (as an average of the cycles), plus a modest risk premium added. “The greatest deviations in the last 30 years from this trend occurred during the tech bubble and the credit…
Step by step, European authorities may believe that they’re getting on with the job, but capital markets clearly dislike the speed; actually, the lack of any speed at all. The euro-group has requested further adjustment measures for 2013-2014 from Greece and wants an acceleration of privatisation plans, too. Unfortunately, it has been decided to delay the release of the €8bn sixth tranche of the first rescue of Greece beyond the initially marked date…
Step by step, European authorities may believe that they’re getting on with the job, but capital markets clearly dislike the speed; actually, the lack of any speed at all. The euro-group has requested further adjustment measures for 2013-2014 from Greece and wants an acceleration of privatisation plans, too. Unfortunately, it has been decided to delay the release of the €8bn sixth tranche of the first rescue of Greece beyond the initially marked date…
This is a note from Banco Santander analysts about the current state of what used to be their competitors, the savings banks. It is a good way to summarise where they are now and what they look like [emphasis is ours]: “The Bank of Spain (BoS) last Friday considered the process of re-capitalisation of the country’s financial system as completed. Thus, it has met the stringent capital requirements imposed by…
This is a note from Banco Santander analysts about the current state of what used to be their competitors, the savings banks. It is a good way to summarise where they are now and what they look like [emphasis is ours]: “The Bank of Spain (BoS) last Friday considered the process of re-capitalisation of the country’s financial system as completed. Thus, it has met the stringent capital requirements imposed by…
In spite of appetite for US banks being healthy and at the top of the S&P upward trend, their CDS keep rocketing, too, at quite a pace (+7,72% on Thursday). The graph pictures the changes from May-June. We fear is a correlation effect from what’s happening to Chinese banks. Details from Barclays Capital: “China closing for lunch off 37bps, noticeably less phased by the stream of commentary overnight about problems…