Bankinter | The Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIReF) assesses the Government’s Economic Situation Report. It considers the macroeconomic scenario for the years 2024-2027 to be optimistic. AIReF has updated its macroeconomic scenario and projects GDP growth of 2.4% for 2024 (up 0.4pp); 1.9% for 2025; 1.8% for 2026 and 1.6% for 2027 (against 2.4% 2024; 2.2% 2025 and 2% in 2026 and 27 of the Government’s macroeconomic projections announced…

The International Monetary Fund, yesterday raised its growth forecast for the Spanish economy this year by half a point to 2.4%, although it also warned that inflation is reluctant to moderate and that sluggish investment and rigidities in the labour market could weigh down developments in the medium term. The Fund recalls that investment remains below 2019 levels, which is weighing on productivity growth per hour worked and could stifle…

In its latest projections – published yesterday – the Bank of Spain predicts a rise in GDP 2024 to 1.9%, three tenths above the last projection made in December, thanks to the drag effect generated by a better-than-expected end to 2023, but above all to the increase in public consumption. The bank warns of the extraordinary increase in public consumption in 2023 to almost 4%, even higher than in 2020…