Sabadell is starting to stabilise

Société Générale |The situation seems to be calming down in TSB and there is more visibility. The IT problems and the negative PR will have an impact on the UK franchise, which we hope will be profitable this year. It looks like Sabadell is beginning to stabilise now, we expect a more limited impact from 2019 and reiterate our Neutral stance.



Sabadell / TSB –accretion dependent on cross-border cost synergies

LONDON | Guest comment by Barclays | The financial success of Sabadell’s offer to acquire TSB hinges on its ability to cut TSB’s costs by 20% almost exclusively by migrating it onto a new IT platform, in our view. This looks a challenging aspiration to us and while Sabadell has successfully integrated domestic Spanish acquisitions at some speed, cross-border integration onto the Spanish platform is largely untested and faces the challenges of a different regulatory framework and different product design. It clearly helps that Lloyds will pay for the integration spend but we believe that meeting the near-term target of EPS neutrality will require a relatively quick delivery of the cost savings.