India is making China look old
LONDON | May 1, 2015 | By Asoka Wöhrmann, Chief Investment Officer at Deutsche AWM | The stock markets in India and China both still have potential. But arguments for investing in India are currently more convincing.
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Notion that Chinese stock market can boost economy is misguided
BEIJING | April 30, 2015 | Caixin Editorial | China’s stock market is on a roll, giving rise to a view that it could help revive the slowing economy. The two have an interesting relationship, and there are advantages and disadvantages to using the market to boost growth. Yet, in the current circumstances, the stock market will be hard pressed to perform that role.
China-Greece: One belt, one road?
ATHENS | April 29, 2015 | By Jens Bastian via MacroPolis | As negotiations between the Greek authorities and the renamed “institutions” labour on, Greek media outlets reported in recent days that the government in Athens was close to receiving substantial liquidity injections from Russian and Chinese sources.
BNP sees risks in QE implementation
The Corner | April 30, 2015 | For BNP Paribas analysts Mario Draghi will find it increasingly difficult over the next few months to execute its planned EUR45bn monthly purchases of sovereign bonds.
“Greek market access is in doubt given rising country risk premium”
The Corner | April 29, 2015 | Amid speculations about a Greek deal (see examples of the bipolar opinion landscape here and here), market makers seemed more apeased yesterday but still have their doubts about the post June situation. “The yield on 3-year Greek debt remains very elevated and suggests that ‘market access’ is unlikely to be afforded to Greece at acceptable interest rates any time soon,” experts at BNP commented.
Eurozone credit lending sees first rise since 2012
The Corner | April 29, 2015 | Is the eurozone’s private sector finally turning a corner? For the first time in three years, lending to households and firms rose in March (0.1% y-o-y), European Central Bank data showed on Wednesday, partly thanks to the QE iniciative.
Euclid Tsakalotos: The faces change, the issues remain the same
ATHENS | April 28, 2015 | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | Such has been the impasse between Greece and its lenders over the last three months (add a few more on if you want to look beyond just this government’s shortcomings) that markets reacted with some joy to the news on Monday that one inexperienced economics professor is replacing another as the central figure in Athens’s negotiations with creditors.
Earnings growth expected to rebound in Spain and Italy (UBS)
April 27, 2015 | UBS | After a period of significant negative earnings growth Italy and Spain earnings show a strong rebound in 2015E. Italy is expected to grow at c. 18% and Spain is expected to yield c. 13% earnings growth.
How much are Spanish banks worth?
MADRID | April 25, 2015 | By Ofelia Marín-Lozano | The Euro Stoxx 50 banking index traded at 450 points in 2007. It fell to 70 during the crisis and in the last two years has recovered up to 160 points. In parallel, the profit of large listed Spanish banks fell between 2007 and 2012 to levels around a quarter of the previous highs. Since then it has been recovering, although at the end of 2014 it still was at around 50% of 2007 levels.
A lot of Greece worries are already priced
The Corner | April 24, 2015 | Greek PM Tsipras is expected to meet with Chancellor Merkel on the Eurogroup sidelines on Friday. The next key focuses will be the IMF payment (€200mn) on 1 May and the Eurogroup meeting on 11 May. But as Barclays analysts remind, lot of worry is already priced; Greek spreads tightened for a second day.