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The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.
No Picture

World economy 24th September 2014

US economy likely to stay buoyant despite corrections

Guest post by Jean-Sylvain Perrig, UPB Chief Investment Officer | The US economy is back on track. Its second-quarter bounce was sharper than previously thought and it is expected to stay on a reasonably good path of 3% in the coming quarters, thanks notably to a rebound in capex, a falling unemployment rate and a sharp improvement in the real estate sector. That will further boost consumer confidence, which has already reached its highest level in seven years.

Japanese valuations

Markets 24th September 2014

Downgrading EM, upgrading Japan

LONDON | The Corner | Emerging market equities no longer hold the attractions they did earlier in the year, according to Barclays analysts. They had previously recommended an overweight stance and now they’re cutting to neutral. In the same time they are raising exposure to Japan.

No Picture

World economy 24th September 2014

Britain betrays Hong Kong… again

The British government has failed to condemn China for breaking its promise of greater democracy in Hong Kong. If you were told the Chinese government — an unelected, one-party state — will decide who you can vote for, what would your response be? Not only would you likely object, you would expect others, especially democracies, to loudly condemn the idea. But Britain has done just the opposite to the people of Hong Kong, when it failed to call China out for breaking its promise of greater democracy for the island territory.

No Picture

In Europe 23rd September 2014

Fresh doubts about economic cohesion at the European parliament

BRUSSELS | By Alexandre Mato | The EU parliament needs to reinforce its economic policy co-ordination to achieve a common fiscal consolidation between Member States. These are the main tasks facing Jean-Claude Junker and his team in the months ahead. EU policymakers must now chart a cohesive strategy to combat growing policy divergences in Eurozone member states. 

No Picture

Markets 23rd September 2014

Europe needs tail wing- ECB willing to open windows

MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | After successive quarters of economic expansion, increased demand and rises in industrial production which had triggered widespread optimism, the economic recovery has lost momentum in the Eurozone, halting abruptly in Q2. That was the main message conveyed on Monday by Mario Draghi at the European Parliament. Weak credit growth may prove an obstacle to recovery, and the continued lag in this sector is likely to persist for the rest of this year, with gradual increases in lending expected in 2015 and 2016.

alibaba

World economy 22nd September 2014

Alibaba’s big deal

BEIJING | By Caixin | E-commerce giant Alibaba Group’s huge initial public offering in New York has stirred the market. Raising US$ 25 billion in total after the company and some of its shareholders sold extra shares, Alibaba’s IPO now ranks as the biggest ever.

draghi

In Europe 22nd September 2014

Why ABS drive will fail, Barclays reckons

MADRID | By Alberto Vigil at Barclays | The ABS purchases by the European Central Bank will not work basically because it is necessary for a regulatory change that does not penalise (in capital terms) either banks or insurance companies who have those securities. That is, if the ECB’s intention is to increase the amount of credit in the real economy, then it should have two specific goals: first, spreading the risk that banks assume when they provide credit; second, reducing banks’ costs of financing.

Captura de pantalla 2014 09 22 a las 12.09.11

In Europe 22nd September 2014

UPDATED: EU confidence: a rough Autumn ahead?

MADRID | The Corner | UPDATE: Consumer confidence fell to minus 11.4 in September from minus 10.0 in August. Economists had expected a fall to minus 10.5. In major countries, Spanish household consumption is very slowly gaining traction, while France’s economy loses momentum -expect very different behavior in  private consumption patterns in the future, Santander analysts commented on Monday. On the left: eurozone’s consumer confidence since 2002; on the right: EZ credit lending to the private sector since 2002.

TLTRO

Markets 20th September 2014

TLTRO alone might not be a game changer for Eurozone credit recovery

MADRID | The Corner | Supply and demand conditions for Eurozone credit generation are improving – this is clearly reflected in the ECB’s latest Bank Lending Survey – but the way towards a full normalisation is still long. We believe that reduced bank funding costs might support, but will not aggressively accelerate, the recovery in credit growth. 

greek politicians

In Europe 20th September 2014

Run this way: The recurring pattern of Greek leaders

ATHENS | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | As the Greek general elections of May (and then June) 2012 approached, every poor unfortunate European politician attempted to grab a moment in the spotlight by pontificating on whether Greece should or should not be in the single currency. While the euro vultures picked at Greece’s carcass, thousands of fear-stricken Greeks withdrew their money from local banks. Who knows, maybe in our strange world of acute fiscal adjustment and extreme political polarisation it is a sign of progress that Greece no longer needs foreigners to encourage a bank run. Local politicians can do the jobs themselves.