Banc Sabadell | The demand for steel in Europe (40% EBITDA) is somewhat weaker than expected (the expected recovery in car making has not happened), which means price rises are not expected. However, ArcelorMittal has showed that it is doing its homework in reducing cash outflows, given a tight financial situation, which could lead to announcements of improved shareholder remuneration in 2020.
The latest profit warning from Nucor for Q2 (1.20-1.25% vs consensus 1.48$) seems to confirm the weakening of tendencies in the steel sector in this period.
Íñigo Recio (GVC Gaesco) | The acquistion of the Italian company Ilva is a strategic operation for ArcelorMittal for the following reasons: 1)it did not have any industrial presence in Italy; 2)the deal means it can cope with steel imports in the Italian market – one of the principal access ports to Europe from non-community steel producing countries (mainly Asia) – and 3) it allows for greater steel prices discipline in Europe.