To have a closer look at where new money is coming from, Carax-Alphavalue focuses on Q3. They think the 2017 picture “is gaining certainty.” They also point that 2017 earnings should be up €101bn, which is the largest variation of the last 11 years excepting €170bn rebound in 2010.
MADRID | The Corner | Now that the earnings season in Europe has finished, Morgan Stanley analysts point out that, excluding small caps, there are 4% more companies that have beaten estimates versus those that have missed them. Therefore, this last quarter has been the strongest since 1Q12. The IT and consumption sectors are those with the best results. Moreover, Europe comes back in the 2Q to the EPS growth (3.7% above the expectations) and the companies start to raise revenue guidance.
MADRID | The Corner | One of the tactical indicators of Morgan Stanley, the “MTI” is giving a strong buy signal of European equities. In addition, outflows from Europe have been extreme. Thus, Morgan Stanley analysts expect the consensus to revise the benefits upwards from now on for the first time in 18 months.
MADRID | By The Corner | The ratio of earnings revisions for the Spanish Ibex 35 is above one point for the first time since December 2009, which means that there are more market watchers revising upwards their expectations about the evolution of the corporate results within the index. On average, analysts’ consensus expects a growth in the corporate earnings close to 25%. However, experts at AFI forecast 15% increases in these results, which would boost the Spanish index by 10-15% thus ending 2014 around 11,500 points.