CdM | In the first half of the year, coinciding with the blackout on 28 April, gas consumption for electricity generation in Spain rose by 41.2%, as the country relied heavily on fossil fuels to stabilise its electricity grid. As Enagás pointed out in a statement on its results, the growth in demand for gas for electricity generation was due to the ‘increased share of combined cycles after the blackout,…
Banco Sabadell | According to press reports, the electricity companies have submitted a proposal to MITECO (Ministry for Ecological Transition) to revise the nuclear calendar, which involves maintaining the final closure date of 2035 and extending the planned intermediate deadlines. The proposal includes, among other things, the intention to request the Nuclear Safety Council (CSN) to extend the two Almaraz reactors (Iberdrola 52.7%; Endesa 36%; Naturgy 11.3%) until 2030 (as…
Banco Sabadell : According to press reports, and confirming rumours that have been appearing in the press over the last month, the National Markets and Competition Commission (CNMC) is moving forward with its decision to approve a 6.5% remuneration for electricity distribution networks and 6.4% for gas for the next six years. Assessment: As for electricity, although the news is negative, it was already known that the proposal being considered…
Morgan Stanley: The analyst team provides an overview of its model for energy demand, prices and GDP evolution. Gas and power curves have normalised in the short term, and imply prices aligned with the team’s estimates. They see less downside risk in these prices and, therefore, less risk of downward EPS revisions, especially attractive for companies trading at low multiples. On the other hand, Rob Pulleyn reiterates the data centre…
According to press reports, the Congress will overturn this Wednesday the energy tax by the vote against it by the PNV, who would not have negotiated with the Treasury. Likewise, Junts would also be against the measure and Podemos considers that the PSOE would have failed to fulfil its commitments. Thus, the royal decree-law approved at the end of December that extended the tax burden to the sector which included…
Norbolsa | This Monday a royal decree law will be approved with the extension of the tax on large energy companies to 2025, a commitment of the Government with its partners -ERC, Bildu and BNG- but it seems unlikely that it will get the approval of Congress due to the opposition of PNV and Junts. As with any decree law, the extension of the energy tax will have to be…
Banc Sabadell: According to the press, the vice-president and minister for energy transition, Teresa Ribera, has expressed her willingness to let the 1.2% tax on energy sales disappear after Brussels’ request that the interventionist measures adopted during the energy crisis be abandoned. Initially, the government had considered using the general budget to include tax breaks linked to investment, but the decision to withdraw the draft public accounts left the extension…
Alphavalue / Divacons| The recent phenomenon of negative electricity prices in several European countries reflects a complex combination of factors, mainly driven by the law of supply and demand and the increasing prominence of renewable energy sources. Countries such as Germany, Finland, Belgium and France frequently experience a surplus in electricity production, largely due to a combination of favourable weather conditions and an increase in renewable energy capacity. This surplus,…
BancaMarch: The European Union ends the winter season with record levels of gas storage. Gas stocks in March recorded values of up to 58.72% of storage capacity, 3 p.p. higher than the previous peak, which took place last year. The energy crisis is behind us. Despite the reduction in Russian gas supplies, the mild winter and the targets set by the EU to reduce gas use have contributed to this…
Alphavalue/Divacons| Iberdrola has filed a complaint against the oil company, accusing it of greenwashing, El País reported on Tuesday. Iberdrola is suing Repsol for distorting reality by exaggerating its biofuels efforts to the public and presenting itself as a leader in the energy transition, while 99.4% of its revenues come from non-renewable energy. Iberdrola: Add, Target Price €13.1/share. Repsol: Add, Target Price €17.8/share.