inflation

tipos interes recursoTC

Poland never really understood why it didn’t crash in 2008

SAO PAULO | February 24, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | It took three years, but in late 2011 Poland finally botched up and went the way of the majority of countries, letting NGDP fall way below trend. They didn’t (correctly) react to the 2007-08 oil price rise, like the US, UK, EZ, etc. and fared well, but didn’t resist when oil prices picked up again in 2010-11, when, among the initial group, only the ECB was dumb enough to react.


ECB inflation

Markets’ morning briefing

The Corner | February 24, 2015 | Figures published today will give an indication of the current state-of-play in the euro zone, with the release of inflation statistics and final GDP figures from the German economy for 2014.


Demanda domestica1TC

Eurozone prices continue to slump

MADRID | The Corner | January ends with bad news for the eurozone: consumer prices fell sharply (0.6% lower than in January 2014, having been down 0.2% on an annual basis in December). This is nothing strange given cheap oil prices, merely adding stress for policymakers. The European Central Bank hopes to stop this decline in prices -the largest since July 2009- with its new bond-buying program starting in March.



India

India under Modi –an entrepreneur’s view

BANGALORE | By Srikanth Vasuraj | Coming from a non-believer this is a big change when I say that I am actually glad that Mr. Narendra Modi has taken over the helm in India. He comes across like a breath of fresh air, speaking the language that people of India have been dying to hear for a long time. This is probably one of the reasons why he won with such a huge mandate. But now that the dust of elections has settled and having been in the hot seat for around six months, the honeymoon period is over and people are eagerly looking forward to delivery on all those promises. The people of India have delivered. Now its his turn.


Saito TN

“People forget that QE is a Japanese innovation”

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | In a blow to PM Shinzo Abe, the Japanese inflation rate fell to its lowest level in over a year in November (0.7% from a 0.9% rise the previous month, according to government data released Friday), complicating efforts of the central bank to end more than a decade of chronic price falls. Does this mean, as stimulus sceptics put it, that the Abenomics are doomed? Advisor to the new government and one of the 100 Most Influential People for Japan according to Nikkei Business, William H. Saito believes we have been quick to judge their strategy. As he explained to me, they have “many plan B’s left.”

 


Comercio recursoTC

Inflation in Spain: Negative territory for 5 consecutive months

MADRID | The Corner | Spain’s final CPI in November was exactly the same as preliminary estimates: -0.4% yoy and -0.1% per month. The inter-annual rate has registered its fifth month in deflation, whereas the month-on-month rate was recorded as negative for the first time in 4 months. Throughout 2014, there were only three months with negative rates. Both the acceleration of the fall in oil prices and the stability of the dollar/euro explain these figures.



Portugal crisisTC

Spain and Portugal are the Eurozone countries at most risk of “prolonged low inflation”

MADRID | The Corner | Internal demand is recovering within the euro area, activity is getting back on track and experts believe that companies are about to start investing, hiring more workers and boosting consumption. However, credit flow, the production gap and unemployment are still major challenges. Analysts at Cortal Consors think that Spain and Portugal are the Eurozone countries most at risk of a “prolonged period of low inflation or mild deflation.”


britain eu

The EU is a union of rules, not a union of force

The European Union (EU) is a group of sovereign states, who are sovereign in that they are entirely free to leave the EU. This freedom to leave means the EU is not a “super state.” There is no coercive force — and no EU army — to make Britain or any other country remain in the union. Britain enjoys a freedom, within the EU, that colonies did not enjoy within the British or other European empires. Britain is, therefore, entirely within its rights in considering the option of leaving the EU, although that does not mean such a course would be wise.