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European economy

Iberdrola

Companies, European economy, Ibex 22nd September 2022

Iberdrola, Acciona Energía, amongst favourites to play European energies theme

Morgan Stanley | Despite Gazprom cutting the gas supply via Nord Stream 1, Martijn Rats (our Commodities strategist) believes that rationing will not be necessary this winter. However he warns that Europe could enter winter 2022-24 with inventory levels which are too low. In response to this, the European Union has suggested introducing different measures: Limit the price of electricity for the “fixed cost” energy generators, 2. Limit the price…

Ursula

European economy 19th September 2022

Europe | Price Cap On Power

BBVA Research | European Commission proposals to mitigate the impact of electricity price inflation on households disposable income and business costs must consider how they affect security of supply and decarbonization.

german euros

European economy 14th September 2022

Germany | Nuclear Power Plant Operators Can Expect Profits To Unexpectedly Be EUR 7.9 Billion Higher This Year Due To High Natural Gas Prices

Ifo | Extending the operating lives of Germany’s three nuclear power plants would reduce the German electricity price by 4 percent next year, according to calculations by the ifo Institute. The nuclear power plants would generate about 4 percent of Germany’s electricity. However, the share of natural gas in power generation would drop only from 8.3 percent to 7.6 percent. “This is because nuclear power isn’t a 1:1 replacement for…

Realresidentialpropertyprices 1

European economy, Relevant News Item 8th September 2022

Real Estate Bubble? Not In Spain

According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements, global real house prices increased by 4.6% year on year in aggregate in the first quarter of 2022. This strong growth in real terms reflected a surge (+11.2%) in nominal terms – the first double-digit one recorded since the eve of the Great Financial Crisis – partly offset by the acceleration in consumer price indices. Real house price developments continued…

InflationEZ

European economy 6th September 2022

Inflation Expectations Not Yet Decoupled From The Official ECB

Crédito y Caución (Atradius) | High inflation is the current hot economic topic. In June, inflation was running at over 11% in the Netherlands1; for the eurozone it was nearly 9%, which is surely a record. It is also sure that the inflationary bite is being felt, particularly in the purchasing power of lower income groups. The question is, how long will this high inflation last? In recent months, energy…

cie automotive

European economy 2nd September 2022

Situation In The German Automotive Industry Deteriorates Sharply

Ifo | The current situation in the German automotive industry deteriorated sharply in August. In the ifo survey, the value of the indicator fell to minus 10 points, down from plus 7.5 points in July. Expectations, however, brightened somewhat, from minus 4 points to zero. This is the first time since April that the overall climate was below zero. “The general darkening of mood in the economy is also reflected…

European economy

European economy, Relevant News Item 23rd August 2022

Business activity in Germany declines for second consecutive month; France activity also drops for first time in 18 months

The downturn in the German private sector economy deepened in August, as business activity fell for the second month running and at a fasterrate in August. This is according to the latest ‘flash’ PMI® data from S&P Global. The deepening downturn was linked by surveyed businesses to a combination of factors, S&P Global noted. These included uncertainty, high inflation and rising interest rates. That said, companies’ expectations registered an uptick…

Stock markets

European economy 22nd July 2022

Spanish GDP Is Still Below Pre-Covid Levels, -3.2%, and So Are Corporate Profits, -6.2%

Spain’s GDP remains -3.2% below pre-pandemic levels, after its historic fall in 2020 (-10.8%). It is last in the EU in terms of GDP recovery and also in terms of business profits: Spanish companies are some 11 points below the European average and, together with Portugal (-6.3%), Spain is the country showing the worst rate of recovery in business profits, which are still 6.2% below pre-covid levels, according to the…

Inflation

European economy 18th July 2022

Europe Fails To Address Inflation

Juan Pedro Marín-Arrese | Blaming Putin for the current inflationary bout no longer holds. No one disputes that sanctions aimed at crippling the Russian economy following the aggression on Ukraine have made the prices of vital commodities skyrocket, mainly due to wild speculative movements. Nowadays, we are witnessing sharp falls in raw materials while prices gather further momentum. Thus, claiming we only face a cost shock from such products seems…

Putin

European economy 14th July 2022

Sanctions on Russia? The current account surplus rose to USD 110.3 billion in May 2022, up 244% from May 2021

Crédito y Caución (Atradius) | Owing to the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia, Eastern Europe is likely to see a 0.6% contraction of GDP in 2022, followed by 1.1% growth in 2023. We forecast that the economy of Russia will contract by 8.0% in 2022, followed by another 2.8% decline in 2023. Sanctions deprive Russia of much-needed industrial components. On the other hand, Russia still exports large quantities…