Spain is not among the countries most directly exposed to Donald Trump’s tariff onslaught, but even so, 80% of its exports to the United States will be compromised by the trade war that the White House has declared on the rest of the world. To this must be added the indirect impact from the damage suffered by other partners and the changes that occur in global value chains. Spain is…
Deutsche Bank | Gestamp (GEST) will present its Q1-25 results on 8 May after the close of trading and will hold a conference call that same afternoon. As for its counterparts, the year has started with a difficult quarter considering European and North American production volumes. With the presentation of the results, we expect the outlook to be updated taking into account the impact of tariffs, but it should be…
Morgan Stanley | Rob Pulleyn reviews his sector coverage as a preview of results, with expectations of continued outperformance over Europe (up 14% YTD and 21% from lows). However, the market maintains an underweight position on the sector and the valuation is still at a discount of -10% in PE versus a long-term premium of 1-2%. Rob maintains his preference for large cap integrated and regulated companies, offering the greatest…
Goods sold by the 27 EU member states to the U.S. will be subject to a 20% tariff, as announced by Donald Trump. For Spanish exports—just over €18 billion last year—it will have an impact of at least €3.2 billion, or 0.2% of GDP, and will particularly hit capital goods, metallurgy, and agricultural sectors—such as olive oil, fruits and vegetables, or wine—which account for more than €14 billion in exports….
US President Donald Trump’s trade siege of Venezuela, revoking permits to do business with the Venezuelan state holding company PDVSA, has ensnared US-based Global Oil Terminals, India’s Reliance Industries, Italy’s ENI, France’s Maurel & Prom… and Repsol, which has more than €500 million in equity risk in that country. This is evident from Repsol’s 2024 annual report. After systematically reducing its equity exposure in Venezuela for several years, in 2024,…
The Minister of Labour, Yolanda Díaz, and her team have spent three years without specifying how many people with fixed-discontinuous contracts are registered in the public employment service offices, arguing that the registration of job seekers is the responsibility of the autonomous communities. However, despite this opacity, the statistical services of the department do handle and even publish these figures. Thus, they estimate that in 2024, the number of people…
Repsol has partnered with Schroders Greencoat, a manager specialized in renewable infrastructure from Schroders Capital, which enters as a partner with a 49% stake in a wind and solar portfolio of 400 megawatts (MW), valued at €580 million. The portfolio includes eight wind farms, totaling 300 MW, located in Huesca, Zaragoza, and Teruel. Additionally, it encompasses two photovoltaic plants totaling 100 MW in Palencia. All assets are expected to be…
Jefferies | Rovi Laboratories (ROVI), ahead of its CMD (9am UKT), has announced a revenue forecast for FY30E of 1.5-1.8 times FY24 levels, a midpoint of €1.261 billion (up 10% versus estimated JEF €1.144 billion). This growth is driven by the forecast of a two-fold increase in CDMO revenues in 24, to around €700 million in 2030E (up 60% compared to €429 million in 2005). Including the additional €250 million…
Of the 47 strategic projects selected by the European Commission in thirteen of its member states to ensure and diversify access to raw materials in the European Union, seven projects belong to Spain. Four are classified as extraction projects, two are integrated projects involving both extraction and processing, and one is categorized under recycling, in line with the objective of the Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) to meet the EU’s…
Elisa Carbonell, CEO of ICEX | The global geopolitical situation has been complex for several years now: with the Covid-19 pandemic, global supply chains were put to the test, and since then, various events of different natures have occurred that are having implications for international trade. Despite this, Spanish merchandise exports have performed well in recent years: Spanish companies have been able to maintain and even increase their global market…